March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Charleston vs. San Diego State
Charleston Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Dalton Bolon |
10.0 |
4.1 |
1.0 |
14.1 |
11.0 |
15.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
| Ante Brzovic |
13.1 |
8.0 |
1.0 |
21.0 |
14.1 |
22.0 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
| Reyne Smith |
10.2 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
12.6 |
11.5 |
13.8 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
| Pat Robinson |
8.4 |
3.0 |
0.7 |
11.4 |
9.1 |
12.1 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
| Ryan Larson |
9.3 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
12.8 |
12.8 |
16.2 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
| Ben Burnham |
7.6 |
3.7 |
0.4 |
11.3 |
8.0 |
11.8 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
| Raekwon Horton |
3.3 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
6.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
| Babacar Faye |
3.2 |
3.8 |
0.3 |
7.1 |
3.6 |
7.4 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
| Jaylon Scott |
3.5 |
5.4 |
2.1 |
8.9 |
5.6 |
11.1 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
| Charles Lampten |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Adam Comer |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jack Miller |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Frankie Idlett |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Spencer Legg |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Dylan Ritter |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
San Diego State Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Matt Bradley |
12.8 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
16.7 |
14.8 |
18.7 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
| Darrion Trammell |
9.2 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
11.4 |
12.4 |
14.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
| Lamont Butler |
9.0 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
11.8 |
12.2 |
15.1 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
| Jaedon Ledee |
8.3 |
5.6 |
1.0 |
13.9 |
9.3 |
14.9 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
| Keshad Johnson |
8.8 |
6.1 |
0.7 |
14.9 |
9.5 |
15.6 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
| Micah Parrish |
8.3 |
3.8 |
0.7 |
12.2 |
9.1 |
12.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
| Nathan Mensah |
5.9 |
5.8 |
0.6 |
11.7 |
6.5 |
12.3 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
| Adam Seiko |
6.4 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
7.9 |
7.1 |
8.6 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
| Aguek Arop |
4.4 |
2.9 |
0.8 |
7.3 |
5.2 |
8.1 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
| Miles Byrd |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Elijah Saunders |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Demarshay Johnson |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cade Alger |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jared Barnett |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Triston Broughton |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Tyler Broughton |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Charleston vs. San Diego State Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Charleston
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Dalton Bolon Over 3.5 Rebounds |
115 |
1 |
1.15 |
MGM |
| Ante Brzovic Over 6.5 Rebounds |
-140 |
1.4 |
1 |
DK |
| Ryan Larson Under 1.5 3Ps |
120 |
1 |
1.2 |
DK |
San Diego State
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Lamont Butler Over 7.5 Points |
100 |
1 |
1 |
DK |
| Darrion Trammell Over 7.5 Points |
-112 |
1.12 |
1 |
UB |
Win Prizes in our FREE Bracket Contest >>
More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
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