March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Furman vs. Virginia
Furman Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Mike Bothwell |
14.1 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
17.5 |
16.6 |
20.0 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
| Jalen Slawson |
12.6 |
7.2 |
2.8 |
19.8 |
15.4 |
22.6 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
| JP Pegues |
9.7 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
13.5 |
13.1 |
16.9 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
| Marcus Foster |
9.0 |
5.5 |
1.0 |
14.5 |
10.0 |
15.5 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
| Garrett Hien |
6.0 |
3.8 |
1.3 |
9.9 |
7.4 |
11.2 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
| Ben VanderWal |
4.3 |
3.4 |
0.4 |
7.7 |
4.7 |
8.1 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
| Alex Williams |
4.9 |
2.9 |
0.5 |
7.8 |
5.4 |
8.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
| Tyrese Hughey |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Carter Whitt |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| Joe Anderson |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jonny Lawrence |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Rett Lister |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Blake Harris |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Virginia Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Armaan Franklin |
13.0 |
4.4 |
1.3 |
17.3 |
14.3 |
18.6 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
| Jayden Gardner |
15.1 |
7.3 |
0.7 |
22.4 |
15.8 |
23.1 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
| Kihei Clark |
11.1 |
2.7 |
4.8 |
13.8 |
15.8 |
18.5 |
1.2 |
2.8 |
| Reece Beekman |
10.3 |
3.3 |
5.0 |
13.6 |
15.3 |
18.6 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
| Ben Vander Plas |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
| Isaac McKneely |
5.9 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
7.9 |
6.5 |
8.5 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
| Kadin Shedrick |
6.2 |
3.7 |
0.6 |
10.0 |
6.8 |
10.5 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
| Ryan Dunn |
3.0 |
3.4 |
0.3 |
6.4 |
3.3 |
6.7 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
| Francisco Caffaro |
2.6 |
2.3 |
0.2 |
4.9 |
2.8 |
5.1 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
| Taine Murray |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Chase Coleman |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Tristan How |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Furman vs. Virginia Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Furman
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| JP Pegues Under 12.5 Points |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
DK |
| Jalen Slawson Over 5.5 Rebounds |
-136 |
1.36 |
1 |
UB |
| Jalen Slawson Over 2.5 Assists |
105 |
1 |
1.05 |
DK |
| Marcus Foster Over 1.5 3Ps |
120 |
1 |
1.2 |
DK |
Virginia
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Armaan Franklin Over 1.5 3Ps |
-105 |
1.05 |
1 |
MGM |
| Jayden Gardner Under 16.5 Points |
-125 |
1.25 |
1 |
DK |
| Reece Beekman Over 8.5 Points |
-122 |
1.22 |
1 |
UB |
Win Prizes in our FREE Bracket Contest >>
More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
South
East
West
Midwest
NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out all of our coverage for the 2023 NCAA Tournament >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
