March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Howard vs. Kansas
Howard Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Elijah Hawkins |
11.6 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
16.4 |
16.1 |
20.9 |
1.5 |
3.4 |
| Steve Settle |
8.2 |
6.2 |
0.7 |
14.4 |
8.9 |
15.1 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
| Shy Odom |
9.7 |
5.8 |
1.0 |
15.5 |
10.8 |
16.5 |
0.1 |
2.6 |
| Jelani Williams |
6.8 |
4.7 |
1.3 |
11.6 |
8.2 |
12.9 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
| Jordan Wood |
5.1 |
3.1 |
0.4 |
8.2 |
5.5 |
8.6 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
| Marcus Dockery |
9.5 |
3.4 |
0.8 |
12.9 |
10.3 |
13.7 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
| Bryce Harris |
5.3 |
3.8 |
0.4 |
9.2 |
5.7 |
9.5 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
| Kobe Dickson |
3.3 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
5.3 |
4.0 |
6.1 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
| Khalil Robinson |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
| Miles Stewart |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Ose Okojie |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Thomas Weaver |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Reece Brown |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Talin Lewis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Ayodele Taiwo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Freedom Rhames |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Kansas Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Jalen Wilson |
22.7 |
8.9 |
2.3 |
31.6 |
25.0 |
33.9 |
2.0 |
5.0 |
| Gradey Dick |
16.5 |
5.4 |
1.6 |
21.9 |
18.2 |
23.6 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
| KJ Adams |
12.2 |
4.9 |
2.1 |
17.1 |
14.3 |
19.1 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
| Kevin McCullar |
12.4 |
7.7 |
2.4 |
20.1 |
14.7 |
22.5 |
0.9 |
3.2 |
| Dajuan Harris |
10.2 |
2.7 |
6.4 |
12.8 |
16.6 |
19.3 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
| Joseph Yesufu |
4.5 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
| Ernest Udeh |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
| Bobby Pettiford |
1.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| MJ Rice |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
| Zuby Ejiofor |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Zach Clemence |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Michael Jankovich |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
| Cam Martin |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Kyle Cuffe |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Dillon Wilhite |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Howard vs. Kansas Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Howard
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Elijah Hawkins Over 3.5 Assists |
102 |
1 |
1.02 |
UB |
| Jelani Williams Under 7.5 Points |
100 |
1 |
1 |
DK |
| Marcus Dockery Over 7.5 Points |
-118 |
1.18 |
1 |
UB |
Kansas
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Jalen Wilson Over 1.5 3Ps |
115 |
1 |
1.15 |
MGM |
| Gradey Dick Over 1.5 Assists |
140 |
1 |
1.4 |
DK |
| KJ Adans Over 10.5 Points |
-110 |
1.1 |
1 |
DK |
| Dajuan Harris Over 5.5 Assists |
-132 |
1.32 |
1 |
UB |
Win Prizes in our FREE Bracket Contest >>
More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
South
East
West
Midwest
NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out all of our coverage for the 2023 NCAA Tournament >>
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