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Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks Odds & Game Pick

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The 2019 season has given us some uninspiring primetime matchups. This isn’t one of those contests. A battle between two of the NFC’s best is also littered with potential playoff implications. The 9-2 Seattle Seahawks will take on the 8-3 Minnesota Vikings in an exciting edition of Monday Night Football. Let’s dig in. 

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Details

  • Opening Lines: The consensus point spread for this contest opened at -3 on the Seattle Seahawks. The consensus over/under total opened at 49 points. The point spread has seen a small drop to -2.5. The over/under total has increased to 50.
  • Current Line: Seattle -2.5
  • O/U: 50
  • Location: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
  • Start Time: 8:15 PM EST, Monday, December 2nd
  • Last Meeting: Seattle defeated Minnesota 21-7 — December 10, 2018

View consensus picks from 100+ experts for Vikings at Seahawks >>

Overview

The Minnesota Vikings have finally become the team everyone thought they would be in 2018. The run game is elite, and their defense is smothering. With these two elements in place, quarterback Kirk Cousins has become what the Minnesota Vikings hoped he would be when they signed him to a record-breaking deal in 2018. Minnesota is fourth in the league in team rushing yards per game and sixth in the league in points allowed per game. This weekend they will be looking to impose their will on a Seattle Seahawks defense that may be without Jadeveon Clowney. 

The Seattle Seahawks, led by MVP candidate Russell Wilson, have been tremendous in 2019, and they still have not reached their potential. They continue to be error-prone, and they have yet to fully incorporate Josh Gordon into their offense. Seattle has won four straight contests, with their last loss coming at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens. The Seahawks passed their other litmus test by dispatching the San Francisco 49ers in a thrilling overtime victory. Seattle has the opportunity and soft schedule to get an outstanding 14-2 record with a victory over the Vikings on Monday Night Football.  

Trends

  • Seattle is 4-1 ATS in their last five contests against Minnesota. 
  • The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five contests between these two teams. 
  • The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six contests between these two teams. 
  • Over is 5-1 in the last six contests between these two teams played in Seattle.
  • Minnesota is 6-5 ATS on the season. 
  • Minnesota is 3-3 ATS at home on the season. 
  • Seattle is 6-5 ATS on the season. 
  • Seattle is 1-4 ATS at home this season. 
  • Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in their last five contests against the NFC.
  • Minnesota is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 contests against teams with winning records. 
  • Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in their last six contests following a loss ATS. 
  • Minnesota is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 contests following a straight-up win. 
  • Seattle is 5-2 ATS in their last seven contests against teams with winning records. 
  • Seattle is 1-5 ATS in their last six home contests. 
  • Seattle is 4-1 ATS in their last five contests following a straight-up win. 
  • Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last seven contests following a win ATS.
  • Over is 5-1 in Minnesota’s last six contests. 
  • Over is 4-1 in Minnesota’s last five contest following a straight-up win. 
  • Under is 9-3 in Minnesota’s last 12 contests against the NFC.
  • Under is 6-1 in Minnesota’s last seven Monday contests. 
  • Over is 6-1 in Seattle’s last seven contests against teams with winning records. 
  • Over is 11-4 in Seattle’s last 15 contests against the NFC.
  • Over is 5-2 in Seattle’s last seven home contests. 
  • Over is 9-3 in Seattle’s last 12 home contests against teams with winning road records. 

Prop Bets

Dalvin Cook over 75 rushing yards (-149)
Dalvin Cook should get an extended run on Monday night against the Seattle Seahawks. The Vikings will be looking to keep Russell Wilson off of the field, and they will do so by controlling the time of possession with Dalvin Cook and talented rookie Alexander Mattison. Cook has cleared the posted total in seven of his 11 contests this season. He is averaging a robust 92.5 rushing yards per game, and he has already crossed the 1,000-yard barrier. Cook has been leaned on more in road contests this season where he has averaged 105.2 rushing yards per game versus just 77.2 at home. The Seahawks have allowed just 78 rushing yards per game this season to the running back position, but have done so at 4.07 yards per carry. Now facing one of the elite backs in the league, Cook could cross the 100-yard barrier in Week 13. Seattle has faced just one running back all season that has averaged over 90 yards per game. They gave up 122 rushing yards to Nick Chubb in Week 6. Lock this player prop in at PointsBet. 

Bottom Line

The Seattle Seahawks appear to be the better team in this contest, and as such, they opened as three-point home favorites. While this matchup should be tightly contested, Seattle has the higher win probability, and they should be able to do so by at least three points. The Seahawks are always a tough out at home, and they could be facing a Vikings team without Adam Thielen for yet another contest. Their poor showing against the spread this season at home has kept the point spread low enough for there to be value on Seattle. While this point spread does not have the win probability for smash action, a unit or two at DraftKings at -2.5 is worth heavy consideration. Five of Seattle’s nine wins this season have been decided by four or fewer points. This means there is minimal to no value on Seattle at three points. 2.5 is the magic number, so be sure to lock this one in before Sunday morning action potentially shifts the consensus point spread. 

Pick: Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (-114)

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive, and follow him @FantasyContext.