We’ve got a 17-game slate in the MLB throughout the day.
The Yankees and Guardians will lead us off with a 12:10 pm ET start time. We’ll then have plenty of day games, a second game of the Yankees-Guardians doubleheader, and a few late-night games.
With so many spots on the board, I’ve narrowed down my Sleeper selections below.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
We’ve got a 17-game slate in the MLB throughout the day.
The Yankees and Guardians will lead us off with a 12:10 pm ET start time. We’ll then have plenty of day games, a second game of the Yankees-Guardians doubleheader, and a few late-night games.
With so many spots on the board, I’ve narrowed down my Sleeper selections below.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Saturday's Best MLB Sleeper Picks Player Predictions
Spencer Turnbull Over 5.5 Ks (1.64X)
Spencer Turnbull has done a complete 360 with the Phillies. He’s earned 31.7% of strikeouts and added just 2.4% of walks, with a .077 ISO and a wOBA of .171. His ground ball rate has hit 53.8%, and he’s only allowed 15.4% of fly balls to begin the year.
Turnbull will face a Pirates lineup that has struck out more than 25% of the time against righties since last season.
The Pittsburgh lineup has also hit just average numbers against righties, including a .167 ISO and wOBA of .325. Nothing really stands out for the Pirates. I’d expect Turnbull to put together a solid performance that could lead to a quality start and 6+ strikeouts. Take his Over.
MacKenzie Gore Over 6.5 Ks (1.65X)
Let’s ride with MacKenzie Gore today.
Gore has already struck out 28.9% of righties to begin the year. He’s also limited walks to 7.9% against righties, which is ultimately something he did very well last season, too.
He’ll face an Athletics team that has hit just a .116 ISO and wOBA of .273 against lefties dating back to last season. The Oakland projected lineup has also struck out 24% of the time against lefties since last season, and six players have struck out more than 23% of the time.
In that Oakland lineup, they’ll more than likely have seven righties. Gore has advantages against righties when it comes to strikeouts. Last year, he earned 25% of strikeouts against them.
Tyler O’Neill Over 1.5 Total Bases (1.87X)
The Red Sox will take on Griffin Canning of the Angels. Canning has always had a lot of potential but hasn’t really ever been consistent with the Angels. Last year, he struck out 26% of batters and held walks to 6.5%. However, he also gave up a .236 ISO and wOBA of .358 to 277 righties.
This year, despite being a right-handed pitcher, he’s off to a worse start against righties. Canning has allowed a .357 ISO and wOBA of .449 with no strikeouts and 50% of fly balls to his first 17 righties.
Tyler O’Neill knows a little about fly balls. He has slugged a .223 ISO against his last 222 righties and has also hit a wOBA of .344. O’Neill is in a huge spot for a home run, but we’ll just play it safe and take O’Neill to earn at least two total bases.
Ryan Pepiot Over 6.5 Ks (2.06X)
Let’s also ride Ryan Pepiot tonight. Pepiot has struck out nearly 32% of batters this season. He’s also averaged 94 pitches per start for the Rays this year.
In addition, Pepiot has also given up just a .100 ISO and wOBA of .240 with 42.3% of grounders and just 23.1% of fly balls allowed this year.
Pepiot is in line to face a Giants lineup that has struck out 22.8% of the time against righties since last season. This lineup has six batters striking out at least 22.9% of the time against righties and seven batters striking out at least 21% of the time against righties.
Beyond that, the Giants’ projected lineup has hit just a .151 ISO and wOBA of .316 since last year. That won’t cut it against the rising star, Pepiot.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:
