With just five games on the NBA slate tonight, we can really focus in on where the value is on PrizePicks tonight.
Like every PrizePicks article, we’ll give our four-player props that you can use for a four-leg entry Power Play. A tw0-leg entry Power Play will give you implied odds of -137 for each prop. A three-leg entry Power Play will give you implied odds of -141. A four-leg entry Power Play will give you implied odds of -128 for each bet.
Getting -128 on the same prop is better than getting -137 or -141. So, moving forward, we’ll stick to four-leg entries.
Remember that a Flex play can still win if one pick misses, but you’d get lower payouts.
With just five games on the NBA slate tonight, we can really focus in on where the value is on PrizePicks tonight.
Like every PrizePicks article, we’ll give our four-player props that you can use for a four-leg entry Power Play. A tw0-leg entry Power Play will give you implied odds of -137 for each prop. A three-leg entry Power Play will give you implied odds of -141. A four-leg entry Power Play will give you implied odds of -128 for each bet.
Getting -128 on the same prop is better than getting -137 or -141. So, moving forward, we’ll stick to four-leg entries.
Remember that a Flex play can still win if one pick misses, but you’d get lower payouts.
John Collins has added at least 14 points in 61% of games this season. He’s also added 14 points in 65% of his last 20 games and has nailed this line in six of his previous ten.
Collins will face a Miami defense that currently ranks 24th in the NBA in points allowed to power forwards.
Most recently, Collins got 36 minutes against the Magic and shot 7-for-10 from the field. He also got to the line several times and nailed two three-pointers to add 19 points.
Also, in February, he scored 15.1 points per game. That average will do the trick tonight against a below-average defense against power forwards. I’m in.
Anfernee Simons 23.5 Points – Less
The Portland leader in scoring is currently Anfernee Simons. He’s averaged 22.1 points per game, but his prop is now up to 23.5 points.
Simons played 26 minutes against the Grizzlies on the road in the last game. He only took nine shots in 26 minutes, thanks to a blowout win. However, he had more assists than points in that game, scoring seven points but assisting on eight baskets.
Even in February, he averaged 21.6 points per game, which still wouldn’t get the job done. Add on the fact that Simons is again playing the Grizzlies, who rank 6th defensively against shooting guards regarding points per game, and we’ll grab the Under.
D’Angelo Russell 17.5 Points – More
D’Angelo Russell has scored at least 18 points in five straight games. He’s also hit this line in eight of his last ten and in 75% of his previous 20 matchups.
Russell finished his last game against the Wizards, playing 44 minutes in an overtime win. He took 21 shots and nailed four threes on 11 attempts.
Russell wasn’t super efficient. However, the volume was there. He finished with 22 points and added six rebounds and five assists with no foul shot attempts. Typically, Russell gets to the foul line a couple of times per game. In February, he took three foul shots per game and also took 16.2 shots per night.
With those numbers, I like him to get more than 17.5 points against the Nuggets.
Alperen Sengun 19.5 – Less
Alperen Sengun has averaged 16.3 points per game against the Suns this year. That won’t get the job done for his 19.5-point prop.
Sengun has scored at least 20 points in only 40% of his last 20 games. He’s also struggled to find success against the Suns over the last couple of seasons.
The Suns rank 16th in points allowed to centers this season. But that’s at least average, going up against a center who has been below average regarding his points total over the last 20 games. Take his Under to finish out the PrizePicks entry.