The Touchdown Oracle has spoken! Welcome to Week 13 of the NFL slate, where Andrew Erickson (formerly known as "The Props Prophet" and "The Undertaker") unveils his favorite anytime touchdown bets, fresh off a Tim Patrick anytime TD cash and double Lions RB TD parlay on Thursday Night Football.
Because what’s better than betting on TDs? Nothing!
With matchups heating up and playoff races intensifying, I’m here to break down the stats, matchups, and trends to pinpoint the best TD scorers to target.
Each week, I dig deep into red-zone opportunities, defensive vulnerabilities, and playmaker usage to highlight the bets that hold the most value. Whether it’s a star player finding the end zone or a sleeper pick ready to cash, these are the touchdown calls you don’t want to miss.
Let’s dive into Week 14 and uncover the end-zone heroes for this weekend’s action! Note that each prime-time game has its own dedicated TD bets.
Erickson's Week 13 Anytime TD Bets
Anytime TD/1st TD Bets
Check out our Anytime TD and First TD reports to help guide your touchdown betting for Week 12. Also, each prime-time game has its own featured anytime TD bets.
Kyle Pitts anytime TD (+320)
When it comes to TDs in Vikings-Falcons, expect them to come through the air. This matchup has the two highest percentages of passing TD% on offense against pass defense passing TD% for BOTH teams.
Minnesota usually drives volume from their opponents. They have been fifth in attempts and yards allowed through the air the last four weeks. The last three quarterbacks who have faced the Vikings have all exceeded their passing yards projection by an average of +95 passing yards.
Kyle Pitts was targeted twice in the red zone last week but failed to record a reception, continuing a frustrating season for the talented tight end. To add more problems for Pitts, he played just 41% of the snaps fewer than Charlie Woerner (58%). His routes fell to 63%, which has happened at times this season. Not great. He has one catch in the last two games. But he’s done this act before. He went catch-less back in Week 4 to post season-highs across the board in Week 5 versus Tampa Bay.
If this matchup increases his volume potential he should be more productive. The Vikings have faced the second-most targets to TEs in the last four games and the most tight end targets ALL season. Pitts has 26 or fewer receiving yards in six games this season while going OVER 50 yards in his other six games.
Jonathon Brooks anytime TD (+450)
Jonathon Brooks chipped in with six carries for 18 yards in Week 13.
The backfield snaps were 79% for Chuba Hubbard and 21% for Brooks. However, the rookie was used more as a receiver, catching all three targets for 23 yards. Hubbard was not targeted despite dominating the routes out of the backfield. Also, Brooks saw three red-zone carries to Hubbard’s solo attempt, in addition to two of his targets coming in the red zone.
He started the drive late in the third quarter after a Buccaneers turnover set up Carolina with an immediate red-zone drive. Brooks had five of his nine touches in the game on this five-play series.
After Hubbard’s fumble, we could see more Brooks. It looked like they wanted to get him a TD with the constant effort to feed him in the red zone. I think he scores in Week 14.
Grant Calcaterra anytime TD (+210)
The Panthers have allowed the most TDs to tight ends this season.
Calvin Ridley anytime TD (+200)
Calvin Ridley REVENGE game. The Jaguars defense is trash, and Ridley should take full advantage of them. He has gone over 63.5 yards in four of his last six games. The Titans also have the fourth-most favorable passing TD percentage matchup this week.
Last week, Ridley caught just 2 of 7 targets for 45 yards (22.5 YPR), including a 30-yard reception. It was just a 16% target share, but he saw a boatload of air yards (122), as he tends to do.
The Jaguars are also horrible versus tight ends. They are tied for the second-most TDs allowed to the position. Josh Whyle only ran 10 routes last week but had three targets. One of these backup Titans TEs is going to score this weekend. Take the dive at long-shot odds.
