March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Princeton vs. Arizona
Princeton Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Tosan Evbuomwan |
17.0 |
7.8 |
5.1 |
24.7 |
22.1 |
29.8 |
0.4 |
3.4 |
| Ryan Langborg |
11.8 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
15.1 |
13.3 |
16.6 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
| Matt Allocco |
12.3 |
6.1 |
2.1 |
18.4 |
14.4 |
20.5 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
| Caden Pierce |
9.7 |
9.1 |
1.3 |
18.8 |
11.0 |
20.1 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
| Keeshawn Kellman |
8.6 |
5.4 |
0.6 |
14.0 |
9.2 |
14.6 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
| Blake Peters |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
| Xaivian Lee |
4.0 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
6.3 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
| Deven Austin |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Zach Martini |
5.1 |
3.6 |
0.6 |
8.8 |
5.8 |
9.4 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
| Jack Scott |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jacob O’Connell |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Konrad Kiszka |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Philip Byriel |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Vernon Collins |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Leyi Adebayo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Arizona Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Azuolas Tubelis |
22.2 |
10.7 |
1.9 |
32.9 |
24.1 |
34.8 |
0.3 |
4.2 |
| Oumar Ballo |
14.3 |
8.9 |
1.4 |
23.2 |
15.7 |
24.6 |
0.0 |
3.3 |
| Pelle Larsson |
10.3 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
14.9 |
13.0 |
17.5 |
0.8 |
3.2 |
| Kerr Kriisa |
9.9 |
2.4 |
4.4 |
12.3 |
14.3 |
16.7 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
| Courtney Ramey |
11.1 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
15.2 |
14.3 |
18.4 |
2.5 |
0.6 |
| Cedric Henderson |
9.5 |
4.1 |
1.1 |
13.7 |
10.7 |
14.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
| Kylan Boswell |
5.2 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
8.7 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
| Henri Veesaar |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Adama Bal |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Dylan Anderson |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Filip Borvicanin |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Matthew Lang |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jordan Mains |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Luc Krystkowiak |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Will Menaugh |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Grant Weitman |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Ben Ackerley |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Tautvilas Tubelis |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Princeton vs. Arizona Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Princeton
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Matt Allocco Over 11.5 Points |
100 |
1 |
1 |
DK |
| Caden Pierce Over 7.5 Rebounds |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
FD |
| Matt Allocco Over 1.5 Assists |
105 |
1 |
1.05 |
DK |
Arizona
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Azuolas Tubelis Over 19.5 Points |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
FD |
| Cedric Henderson Under 11.5 Points |
-125 |
1.25 |
1 |
DK |
| Azuolas Tubelis Over 9.5 Rebounds |
-119 |
1.19 |
1 |
CZR |
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More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
South
East
West
Midwest
NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out all of our coverage for the 2023 NCAA Tournament >>
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