Skip to main content

Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Preview: Odds, Picks & Best Bet (2022)

by July 23, 2022
NFL Week 15 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions: Titans vs. Chargers (2022)

The summer is here, and the start of the NFL season will be here before we know it. Now is the time to start digging into NFL futures, both team futures and player futures. NFL futures can be great ways to profit during the upcoming season. We’ll have you covered throughout the offseason with updated news and odds for all futures and Week 1 odds. Let’s take a look at updated 2022 NFL team win totals and futures odds.

Team Betting Previews

NFL Futures Odds

Check out our NFL Futures Betting Guide >>

What are Team Futures?

Futures refers to any team-based wager for a future event or a result. These bets often do not pay out until weeks or even months from when they are initially placed. Bets for win totals and the Super Bowl winner are good examples of team futures bets.

Tennessee Titans Super Bowl Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
+3500
+3000
+3500
+3000
+3300
+3500
+3500
+3500

 

The Tennessee Titans are coming off a 2021 campaign that saw them compile a 12-5 record which was good enough to secure the one-seed and first-round playoff bye in the AFC, losing to the eventual conference champion Bengals in the Divisional Round. Oddsmakers have set their preseason Super Bowl odds as long as +3500. This number puts the Titans around the middle of the pack for Super Bowl odds. 

Why are oddsmakers so bullish on the Titans? After a tumultuous end to the playoffs, including a disastrous performance from Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee traded away star pass catcher A.J. Brown and hope to replace his production with veteran Robert Woods off of an ACL injury and rookie Treylon Burks.

Finally, the offense returns Derrick Henry at running back, but he’s coming off a season where he missed eight games with a foot injury. He came back for an underwhelming playoff performance but is expected to back to 100% this fall.

The +3500 number is the longest for any team with better than even odds to make the playoffs. A dive into the analytical stats last season shows the Titans overachieved as they were middle of the pack in Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric and outperformed their Pythagorean win total. Tennessee may not miss Brown in the passing game as much as expected, but there is little data to suggest this team isn’t adequately valued with these odds, so I’m staying away.

Tennessee Titans Conference Winner Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
+1700
+1600
+1800
+1500
+1600
+1700
+1700
+1700

 

Like their Super Bowl odds, the Titans’ odds to win the AFC sit around the middle of the pack. You can get them at +1800 at DraftKings. The AFC was very competitive in 2021, and even many teams that missed out on the playoffs made roster moves to get stronger. Wild card spots will be tough to come by, but the Titans benefit from playing in the AFC South with just two teams realistically vying for playoff spots and the division.

Teams with odds in the same range include the Browns, Raiders and Dolphins. These teams made splashy moves to add all-pro talent in the trade market. Usually, when I’m looking for a long shot to win the conference or Super Bowl, I want a team with talented upside. The Titans have some young players that could break out, but the number is too long for me to bite. Even with a seemingly easier path to the playoffs than some other teams via the AFC South title, I don’t like the Titans enough at this number and am staying away.

Tennessee Titans Division Winner Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
+160
+150
+170
+160
+160
+160
+160
+160

 

Following last season’s AFC South title, the Titans are offered at DraftKings at +170 to repeat in the 2022 campaign. The Jaguars and Texans are still in rebuilding phases, so the division will be a two-team race between Tennessee and Indianapolis, the latter currently sitting as betting favorites. 

Both defenses performed in the top half of the league per DVOA during the 2021 season. The Titans have their offensive question marks centered around the pass receiving corps. This has betting lines more bullish on the team headed into 2022, but it is the Colts’ big offseason move that I’m not in love with. Prevailing thoughts on the move to replace Carson Wentz with Matt Ryan at QB indicated a positive change for the Colts. Digging deeper into the numbers tells a different story. At 37 years old, Ryan is coming off his worst year statistically, worse than Wentz in many metrics, including QBR. 

The +170 indicates a 37% probability of winning the division, but this race is closer to even, in my opinion. I am going to bet Tennessee here to win the AFC South. There is a lot of value in +170 and with both matchups with the Colts early in the season, now is the best time to jump on the number. 

Tennessee Titans Win Total O/U Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
OVER
o9.5
-105
o9.5
+120
o9.0
-105
o9.5
+115
o9.5
+115
o9.0
-122
o9.0
-122
o9.0
-122
UNDER
u9.5
-118
u9.5
-145
u9.0
-115
u9.5
-135
u9.5
-140
u9.0
EVEN
u9.0
EVEN
u9.0
EVEN

 

In 2021 the Titans were one of the largest over-performers of their Pythagorean Win Total. Based on their point differential, the 12-5 tally they put up was 1.67 wins over the 10.33 expected. Typically, this is an excellent indicator to bettors that the win total under might be the play the following season. 

On paper, the schedule is daunting with matchups against AFC division winners and the gauntlet of the AFC West. The numbers suggest the Titans will struggle to repeat last season’s win success, but they would only need to finish 10-7 to avoid the under 9.5 on the win total offered at most books. The Titans have never won less than nine games under Mike Vrabel and have not fallen under nine wins since 2016. It will be tempting to take over nine wins available at some books. Still, I don’t see an edge on either side as I have them projected between 9 and 10 wins, so I will stay away.

Tennessee Titans to Make the Playoffs Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
YES
-110
-115
-110
-110
-115
-110
-110
-110
NO
-110
-105
-110
-110
-105
-110
-110
-110

 

Many teams in the AFC that missed out on the playoffs in 2021 made big offseason moves to improve their rosters and make that playoff push in 2022. The three wild card spots will be tough to come by, and it will likely take 10+ wins to secure them. 

The Titans have a shot at making the playoffs for a fourth straight season in 2022, but it will be a tough task. Because of this, +110 offered at Caesars to miss the playoffs is enticing. Teams with 10 or more wins may miss out in the AFC. At the current win total projection, it may be challenging for the Titans to break through in the AFC playoff, especially if the Colts win the division. Even though I see value in the Titans’ number to win the division, I lean towards the plus number to miss the playoffs strictly on value.

Favorite Tennessee Titans Futures Bet

+170 Division Winner Odds

Matthew Freedman’s Best Bets After the 2022 NFL Draft >>

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced sports betting strategy — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.

NFL, Picks