March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs. Alabama
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Trey Tennyson |
20.3 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
23.5 |
22.2 |
25.4 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
| Isaac Mushila |
17.3 |
12.4 |
1.6 |
29.6 |
18.9 |
31.3 |
0.4 |
7.8 |
| Terrion Murdix |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Ross Williams |
10.6 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
13.1 |
12.3 |
14.7 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
| Jalen Jackson |
10.5 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
14.9 |
15.2 |
19.6 |
0.3 |
3.9 |
| De’Lazarus Keys |
8.1 |
8.1 |
1.8 |
16.2 |
10.0 |
18.0 |
0.1 |
1.3 |
| Simeon Fryer |
4.8 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
9.7 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
| Owen Dease |
7.5 |
3.8 |
1.2 |
11.3 |
8.7 |
12.5 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
| Jordan Roberts |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jourdyn Grandberry |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Tyrese Nickelson |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jasman Sangha |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Connor Kern |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jaren Marshall |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Aaron Harden |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Alabama Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Brandon Miller |
0.0 |
8.4 |
0.0 |
8.4 |
0.0 |
8.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Mark Sears |
0.0 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Noah Clowney |
0.0 |
8.7 |
0.0 |
8.7 |
0.0 |
8.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jahvon Quinerly |
0.0 |
2.6 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jaden Bradley |
0.0 |
2.1 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Rylan Griffen |
0.0 |
2.7 |
0.0 |
2.7 |
0.0 |
2.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Charles Bediako |
0.0 |
5.9 |
0.0 |
5.9 |
0.0 |
5.9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Noah Gurley |
0.0 |
2.5 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Nimari Burnett |
0.0 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Nick Pringle |
0.0 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Dominick Welch |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Delaney Heard |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Darius Miles |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Adam Cottrell |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jaden Quinerly |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Max Scharnowski |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs. Alabama Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Isaac Mushila Over 8.5 Rebounds |
-115 |
1.15 |
1 |
DK |
| Trey Tennyson Over 14.5 Points |
-105 |
1.05 |
1 |
DK |
Alabama
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Jahvon Quinerly Over 4.5 Assists |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
MGM |
| Mark Sears Over 10.5 Points |
-118 |
1.18 |
1 |
FD |
| Brandon Miller Under 9.5 Rebounds |
-148 |
1.48 |
1 |
FD |
| Mark Sears Over 2.5 Assists |
100 |
1 |
1 |
DK |
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More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
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