March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Texas Southern vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
Texas Southern Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Davon Barnes |
16.4 |
5.8 |
2.7 |
22.2 |
19.1 |
24.9 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
| John Walker |
14.3 |
5.3 |
1.8 |
19.6 |
16.1 |
21.4 |
0.5 |
3.0 |
| PJ Henry |
15.6 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
18.1 |
18.5 |
21.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
| Joirdon Karl Nicholas |
10.1 |
9.2 |
1.6 |
19.3 |
11.7 |
21.0 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
| Zytarious Mortle |
3.6 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
5.4 |
4.0 |
5.8 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
| Kolby Granger |
7.1 |
4.3 |
1.6 |
11.3 |
8.7 |
13.0 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
| Kehlin Farooq |
3.6 |
3.2 |
1.0 |
6.9 |
4.6 |
7.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
| Jordan Gilliam |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
| Chris Craig |
2.1 |
1.8 |
0.3 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
| Isaiah Marin |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Grayson Carter |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Shaqir O’Neal |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Calen Holiday |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Fairleigh Dickinson Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Demetre Roberts |
15.5 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
18.9 |
19.1 |
22.6 |
1.6 |
4.3 |
| Grant Singleton |
13.7 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
17.9 |
16.6 |
20.8 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
| Ansley Almonor |
13.3 |
5.5 |
1.3 |
18.8 |
14.6 |
20.1 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
| Joe Munden |
11.0 |
6.4 |
1.1 |
17.4 |
12.0 |
18.5 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
| Sean Moore |
6.7 |
5.5 |
0.9 |
12.2 |
7.6 |
13.1 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
| Heru Bligen |
4.3 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
6.8 |
4.6 |
7.1 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
| Jo’el Emanuel |
2.2 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
4.1 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| Sebastien Lamaute |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cameron Tweedy |
4.0 |
3.5 |
0.5 |
7.5 |
4.5 |
8.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
| Trevon Blassingame |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Brayden Reynolds |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
| Daniel Rodriguez |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Pier-Olivier Racine |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Brandon Upshaw |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Texas Southern vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Texas Southern
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Davon Barnes Over 12.5 Points |
-125 |
1.25 |
1 |
DK |
| John Walker Over 12.5 Points |
-125 |
1.25 |
1 |
FD |
| Davon Barnes Over 4.5 Rebounds |
100 |
1 |
1 |
DK |
| Joirdon Karl Nicholas Over 8.5 Rebounds |
104 |
1 |
1.04 |
FD |
| PJ Henry Over 2.5 Assists |
150 |
1 |
1.5 |
DK |
Fairleigh Dickinson
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Ansley Almonor Over 11.5 Points |
-130 |
1.3 |
1 |
DK |
| Ansley Almonor Over 4.5 Rebounds |
-105 |
1.05 |
1 |
DK |
| Demetre Roberts Over 3.5 Rebounds |
135 |
1 |
1.35 |
DK |
| Grant Singleton Over 1.5 3Ps |
-125 |
1.25 |
1 |
DK |
Win Prizes in our FREE Bracket Contest >>
Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
South
East
West
Midwest
Check out all of our coverage for the 2023 NCAA Tournament >>
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