Thor Nystrom’s Best College Football Week 7 Bets (2023)

Here's a look at College Football Week 7 spreads and totals, along with my projections. Below, you can find my best bets of the week.

Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>

Here's a look at College Football Week 7 spreads and totals, along with my projections. Below, you can find my best bets of the week.

Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>

Best College Football Week 7 Bets

• 53-48-3 (52.5%) ATS
• 2014-2022: 815-704-21 ATS (53.6%)

Note: In the table below, ATL ("Adjusted Thor Line") is my system's projected spread, and ATT ("Adjusted Thor Total") is my system's projected total. Spreads are from the home team's perspective - a negative number indicates the home team is favored.

My bets below were all locked into the BettingPros app earlier this week. My record is also tracked in the app. To get my bets the second I make them, download the BettingPros app, follow me at BettingPros.com/thor, and turn on notifications.

Oregon (+3) at Washington

I'm not going to cite the stats of either of these teams, as neither has played a strength of schedule inside the top-90.

This is a simple handicap: I'm taking the field goal with the team that I feel has the better defense, and can be more multiple on defense.

The play: Oregon +3

North Carolina (-3.5) vs. Miami

Can the Hurricanes pick themselves up off the mat after one of the great coaching travesties of our lifetimes? Even if they can, would they be able to overcome this powerful UNC offense?

The Tar Heels are top-5 in the country in three-and-out percentage and goal-to-go TD percentage. With WR Tez Walker back, the offense is only going to be better going forward.

The play: North Carolina -3.5

Texas A&M (+3.5) at Tennessee

Texas A&M let us down last week on account of conservative coaching decisions. But they have what it takes to give the Vols problems in this matchup.

Recall how often they harassed Alabama QB Jalen Milroe in that matchup. A&M currently ranks No. 1 in sacks per dropback. Tennessee QB Joe Milton better be ready to be under duress throughout.

Tennessee's one path to win this game? Milton accurately hitting windows downfield with heat in his face. How confident are you that he can do it? Tennessee ranks No 88 in passing explosion and No. 84 in in blitz-down big-play rate this year.

The play: A&M +3.5

Kentucky (-2.5) vs. Missouri

This line is deflated because the public watched Missouri give a fight to LSU last Saturday while Kentucky got annihilated by Georgia.

But I'm not going to overreact to another team marching up-and-down the field on LSU's Swiss-cheese defense, nor the No. 1 team in the country asserting its dominance.

Kentucky is the better team, and it gets Mizzou at home.

The play: Kentucky -2.5

Notre Dame (-2.5) vs. USC

The Irish are a flawed team. But so, too, are the Trojans. And the ways Louisville exploited Notre Dame last week are not available to USC.

Louisville HC Jeff Brohm talked in the postgame about how the Cardinals' strategy in that game was to put heat on Irish QB Sam Hartman, cover the intermediate area, and force him to throw deep to beat them.

USC's defense has played only one offense inside the SP+ top-80. Last week, against Arizona, was its first crack. It was playing a true freshman quarterback. The Trojans got out-gained 506-365, and at times Arizona QB Noah Fifita, who had five TD, had all day to throw.

To date, the Trojans have played the No. 116 strength of schedule. They've played with fire, winning their last two games by one-possession. Notre Dame has two losses, but it has played a top-25 SOS.

This feels like a circle-the-wagons game for the Irish. We think they pull out the win.

The play: Notre Dame -2.5

Colorado (-11) vs. Stanford (Friday)

ATL: Colorado -12.9

Colorado HC Deion Sanders said Wednesday that all-world WR/CB Travis Hunter has a "tremendous chance" to play in this game. What a coup that would be.

Stanford is going to have all kinds of issues keeping Colorado from scoring. The Buffaloes rank No. 25 in passing success rate. The Cardinal rank No. 121 in defensive passing success rate.

And Stanford can't take advantage of Colorado's Achillies heal of pass protection - the Cardinal rank No. 131 in DL havoc rate and No. 117 in sacks per dropback.

The play: Colorado -11

Other bets:

• Iowa (+10) at Wisconsin
• Memphis +3 vs. Tulane
• Charlotte +3.5 vs. Navy
• Wyoming +10.5 vs. Air Force
• Wyoming-Air Force u42.5
• Troy -4 at Army
• James Madison -3.5 vs. Georgia Southern

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

• NFL Betting Primer: Top Picks & Player Prop Bets for Every Game (Week 6)
• NFL Week 6 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
• Erickson's NFL Week 6 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions (2023)
• Thor Nystrom's Best College Football Week 7 Bets (2023)
• Top NHL Odds, Picks & Predictions (Penguins vs. Capitals)

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