March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: UNC Ashville vs. UCLA
UNC Ashville Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Drew Pember |
18.6 |
10.6 |
1.9 |
29.1 |
20.4 |
31.0 |
1.6 |
6.4 |
| Tajion Jones |
12.9 |
5.7 |
1.0 |
18.6 |
13.8 |
19.6 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
| Nick McMullen |
6.8 |
6.2 |
0.5 |
13.0 |
7.3 |
13.5 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
| Fletcher Abee |
6.6 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
8.6 |
7.4 |
9.4 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
| Jamon Battle |
5.0 |
3.5 |
0.7 |
8.5 |
5.7 |
9.1 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
| Caleb Burgess |
5.9 |
3.1 |
4.7 |
9.0 |
10.6 |
13.7 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
| Alex Caldwell |
2.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
| Trent Stephney |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Amadou Sylla |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Dean Gabrelcik |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Silas Mason |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Zaharee Maddox |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Davion Cunningham |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Justin Stephens |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Ian Clinkscales-King |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
UCLA Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Jaime Jaquez |
20.3 |
9.9 |
2.4 |
30.2 |
22.8 |
32.6 |
0.8 |
3.0 |
| Tyger Campbell |
15.7 |
3.1 |
4.8 |
18.8 |
20.4 |
23.5 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
| Jaylen Clark |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| David Singleton |
11.6 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
15.2 |
12.8 |
16.4 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
| Amari Bailey |
13.6 |
5.0 |
2.2 |
18.5 |
15.8 |
20.7 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
| Adem Bona |
8.2 |
5.9 |
0.7 |
14.0 |
8.8 |
14.7 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
| Dylan Andrews |
3.8 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
| Kenneth Nwuba |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Mac Etienne |
1.8 |
3.9 |
0.3 |
5.8 |
2.2 |
6.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
| Abramo Canka |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Will McClendon |
0.9 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
| Russell Stong |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Evan Manjikian |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Logan Cremonesi |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
UNC Ashville vs. UCLA Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
UNC Ashville
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Drew Pember Over 8.5 Rebounds |
-108 |
1.08 |
1 |
FD |
| Tajion Jones Over 4.5 Rebounds |
-122 |
1.22 |
1 |
FD |
UCLA
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| David Singleton Over 12.5 PRAs |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
DK |
| David Singleton Over 9.5 Points |
105 |
1 |
1.05 |
DK |
| Amari Bailey Over 1.5 Assists |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
MGM |
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More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
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