It’s the moment that the WNBA has been waiting for. Game 3 between the Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces. Let’s find some Market-based EV WNBA picks for tonight’s win-or-go-home matchup.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Thursday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Aliyah Boston Under 7.5 Rebounds (+144 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +127
- Market EV: +8%
Aliyah Boston has grabbed eight rebounds in just two of her last 10 games. She hauled in eight rebounds in Game 1 of this playoff series, but finished with just four in Game 2. Boston has averaged 5.3 rebounds over her last 10 games and has regressed 10% in rebounds since last season.
Ultimately, Boston has had success against Las Vegas on the glass in her career, but she’s still regressed in rebounds this season.
You can bet on her to go under 7.5 rebounds at +144, when the fair value is +127. That’s an 8% market EV play. Grab it before it’s gone.
Jackie Young Over 6.5 Assists (+122 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +108
- Market EV: +7%
Jackie Young has dished out at least eight assists in four of her last five games. She recorded only five assists in Game 2 of this series.
Still, Young has averaged nine assists over her last five games and has an assists prop line of 6.5 tonight.
Young to go over 6.5 assists is +122 at Novig, giving this play a 7% market EV. That’s another sensational find and a bet you’ll absolutely want to place. The fair value is +108.
Jewell Loyd Over 8.5 Points (+120 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: +109
- Market EV: +5%
Jewell Loyd was a premier scorer in the WNBA. However, she was sent to Las Vegas, and her scoring dipped while playing with some of the best scorers in the WNBA.
Anyway, Loyd has scored at least nine points in three of her last four games and has averaged 14.4 points per game against the Fever throughout her career.
Tonight, you can bet on Loyd to go over 8.5 points at +120 at Hard Rock Bet; the fair value is +109. This is a 5% market EV play. Take a chance on this play if you can get it in time.
