We’ve got another three-game WNBA slate tonight, including an exciting Fever-Wings matchup on Amazon Prime Video. I found some Market-based EV WNBA picks, including a wager in that Fever-Wings game, and shared them all below.
Let’s have a big Thursday.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Thursday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated
Paige Bueckers Under 5.5 Assists (+110 at ProphetX)
- Fair Value: -105
- Market EV: +8%
Paige Bueckers has added at least six assists in 56% of games this season. However, she only added three assists in her last matchup against Golden State on August 17th. Bueckers also had seven turnovers and her worst offensive rating in over 10 games.
Bueckers has had at least six assists in just four of her last 10 games. Yet, you can bet on her to go under 5.5 assists at +110 odds. That’s an 8% positive-expected-value bet, with the fair value currently at -105.
Bueckers is having an insane season, but the under makes the most sense here.
Rae Burrell Over 3.5 Assists (+138 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +122
- Market EV: +7%
Rae Burrell had six assists in her latest game against the Connecticut Sun. Over the last 10 games, she’s averaged 3.5 assists per game, and 3.8 assists over the last five games. Still, you can bet on her to dish out at least four assists at +138 via Novig. There’s some serious value there.
This line’s fair value is +122, giving the +138 Novig line a 7% market EV. It’s one of the best bets you’ll find in the WNBA tonight. Consider grabbing it while you can because it won’t last forever.
Dearica Hamby Over 14.5 Points (+110 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: -101
- Market EV: +5%
Dearcia Hamby has scored at least 15 points in 60% of games this season. Additionally, she’s scored at least 21 points in three of her last four games against the Atlanta Dream. Hamby hasn’t always had it easy against the Dream, but she’s shot at least 55% in each of her last four games against Atlanta.
Meanwhile, the over on Hamby’s points prop tonight is +110. The fair value is -101, giving this wager a positive expected value of 5%. It’s another no-brainer bet for the WNBA tonight.
