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It’s NFL Draft weekend! The draft is undoubtedly the most significant event in sports since quarantine began, and sportsbooks have been offering tons of prop bets on what’ll happen. This might be the best weekend for betting we get for a while, so you should enjoy it while you can!
1. The 2020 NFL Draft
If you haven’t put your draft day bets in, hurry up! BettingPros has a treasure trove of articles on popular props.
To throw in my two cents, the uncertainty surrounding Tua Tagovailoa’s draft positions offers bettors an excellent opportunity for profit. Let’s take a look at two Tua-related lines posted by BetMGM:
Draft Position: Over 5.5 (+120)
Drafted By: Miami Dolphins (-106)
Almost every draft expert agrees that Tua will either go to the Dolphins at 1.3 or 1.5 or that he’ll fall past the fifth pick. So while these two lines aren’t directly related, they closely linked. It feels safe, too, as I doubt anyone other than the Dolphins would take Tua before the fifth pick.
Let’s say that you put $100 on both sides of the line. You’ll win $20 if Tua goes after the fifth pick, but you’ll only lose $6 if the Dolphins take him early. But if you think Tua is a top-five lock, then adjust your bet slightly by putting 1.25x your units (in this case, our unit is $100, so it’d be $125) on Tua to the Dolphins. That’ll earn you $17 in profits if he goes to Miami early, and you’ll only lose $5 if he falls past them.
The other thing about this Tua bet? If he falls far beyond fifth overall, the Dolphins have two more chances to snap him up in the first round. So while at least one of these lines should hit, there’s a chance that both of them can hit, too.
2. International Soccer
Ah, yes, the other football. Belarusian soccer has been a betting staple throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Eastern European country will keep sending its players out on the field each weekend. If you need a change of pace, however, we’ve also got games in Taiwan and Turkmenistan to consider as well.
Let’s start with Belarus. After a hot start, Energetyk-BGU has slowed down considerably by losing their last two games. Slutsk, Vitebsk, and Torpedo BelAZ now collectively occupy the top spot. Of the three, Slutsk has the best goal differential at +3, and they take on last-place Belshina on Sunday. Their -143 odds to win at DraftKings could offer stronger value, but they’re almost sure to hit.
Over at 888sport, we’ve got lines on both Taiwanese and Turkmen games. In Turkmenistan, FC Altyn Asyr, who are reigning six-time champions, currently sit in fourth place with a record of 1-2-0. They take on fifth-place FC Energetik next, a team that’s scored just two goals across four games. In the seven total games that Altyn Asyr and Energetik have played this season, the score has only gone over three once. So with the over/under set at 2.5, lock in the under at -124.
3. eNASCAR Racing
Last weekend saw the eNASCAR iRacing Pro Invitational Series return to action at virtual Richmond Raceway. Ryan Preece led the way at the start of the race, but Bristol winner William Byron quickly overtook him and dominated the rest of the way.
This series has turned into a two-man show featuring Byron and Timmy Hill. Last week, this allowed us to pair a bet on Byron to win (+180) with a bet on Hill to beat Byron (+165) that pretty much guaranteed us some money. One side of that bet would’ve hit in all four races to date.
Unfortunately, William Hill has not posted any prop lines — or lines on winners, for that matter — so we can’t use that strategy again. Instead, we’ve got traditional to-win lines for this weekend’s race at Talladega. That track is notorious for real-life chaos, so I’d recommend tapping a couple of flyers for very small, high-risk plays. On DraftKings, strong options include Denny Hamlin (+1100) and Ryan Preece (+1300).*
*Update: William Hill now has betting lines up, and I’d recommend locking in Byron to win (+300) and Hill to beat Byron (+170) over there.
4. Taiwanese Basketball
Yulon takes on Taiwan Beer in the Super Basketball League finals this weekend. After trouncing Pauian in three-straight semifinal games, Yulon continued its hot streak with back-to-back wins to open the series. Yet every sportsbook has them as moneyline underdogs for their next game.
While Taiwan Beer is favored for a reason, as the team beat Yulon earlier in the playoffs 77-73, what has the squad done for us lately? They lost to Yulon 88-83 and 89-83 in the series so far, and I’m comfortable betting on Yulon both straight up and against the spread. You should cash in on FanDuel’s generous moneyline odds of +192, but if you’re feeling cautious, you can take them at +5.5 with odds of -118 at the same site.
Last weekend, the Professional Darts Corporation’s (PDC) Home Tour kicked off, supplementing the British Modus Icons of Darts. Once again, both events will run through the weekend.
The format is similar to that of the NBA Horse challenge, as players stream their use of regulation setups at home. If you’re trying to find value on darts betting, check out this British darts database for more information.