Best NFL Bets & Trends for Week 5 (2026)

Let’s look at some of the top premium betting systems for Week 5. Some of these systems have done incredibly well this season, while others have an outstanding track record over the last few years. Let’s cash in with this week’s best NFL bets.

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Week 5's Best NFL Bets & Trends Picks

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Chris Olave Receptions Overs (Home)

Chris Olave has hit the over in receptions in seven consecutive home games. His prop line is set at 6.5 this week.

Olave has grabbed at least seven receptions in 70% of his last 10 games and has hit this line in six straight games entering Sunday. He’ll take on a Minnesota Vikings team that has allowed the second-fewest yards on throws behind the sticks. But he’s still had success against these types of defenses.

Let’s ride with the system and take Olave to add at least seven receptions on Sunday.

Pick: Chris Olave Over 6.5 Receptions (+105)

-101 to -120 Receptions Unders (≤20% Over Hit Rate L5)

DK Metcalf has hit the under on his receiving yards prop in six straight home games. He’s got an exciting matchup against the Colts, and just recorded 115 yards against the Browns. But that was a road game.

All in all, Metcalf has at least 53 receiving yards in just three of his last 10 games and in only 35% of his last 20 games. With Michael Pittman Jr. out, Roman Wilson has been Aaron Rodgers’ favorite target.

Let’s take Metcalf to go under 52.5 receiving yards at home.

Pick: DK Metcalf Under 52.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Derrick Henry Receptions Unders (Away)

Derrick Henry has at least one reception in two of the first four games this season. However, he’s not known for his catching ability, with at least two catches in just two of his last 10 games, and he has hit this prop in just 30% of his last 20 games.

With Lamar Jackson uncertain for Sunday, it’ll be hard to back anyone in the Ravens’ passing game. If Jackson remains out, you’d have to imagine Henry will be mostly used in the run game.

That’s why, even at -230, backing Henry to finish with fewer than two receptions is a value play. On the road, this has been the case in six consecutive games.

Pick: Derrick Henry Under 1.5 Receptions (-230)