March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market.
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
- 2023: 201-156, +34.22 units (Through Saturday Round 2)
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March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market.
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
- 2023: 201-156, +34.22 units (Through Saturday Round 2)
Get the FREE BettingPros sports betting app and start making winning bets with expert advice and picks >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Florida Atlantic
Fairleigh Dickinson Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Demetre Roberts |
13.9 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
17.0 |
16.4 |
19.4 |
1.5 |
3.1 |
| Grant Singleton |
12.9 |
4.1 |
2.1 |
16.9 |
14.9 |
19.0 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
| Ansley Almonor |
12.5 |
5.2 |
0.8 |
17.7 |
13.4 |
18.6 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
| Joe Munden |
10.0 |
5.7 |
0.7 |
15.7 |
10.7 |
16.3 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
| Sean Moore |
6.6 |
5.4 |
0.7 |
12.0 |
7.3 |
12.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
| Heru Bligen |
4.2 |
2.5 |
0.2 |
6.7 |
4.4 |
6.9 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
| Jo’el Emanuel |
1.8 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
3.9 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
| Sebastien Lamaute |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cameron Tweedy |
3.6 |
3.3 |
0.4 |
6.9 |
4.0 |
7.3 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| Brayden Reynolds |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
| Trevon Blassingame |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Daniel Rodriguez |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Pier-Olivier Racine |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Brandon Upshaw |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Florida Atlantic Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Johnell Davis |
16.5 |
6.4 |
2.0 |
22.9 |
18.5 |
24.9 |
1.6 |
3.2 |
| Alijah Martin |
15.8 |
6.5 |
2.0 |
22.3 |
17.8 |
24.3 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
| Vladislav Goldin |
11.1 |
6.7 |
0.5 |
17.8 |
11.6 |
18.3 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
| Nick Boyd |
9.5 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
13.8 |
12.3 |
16.6 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
| Michael Forrest |
5.4 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
6.9 |
6.6 |
8.1 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
| Bryan Greenlee |
7.1 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
9.7 |
9.6 |
12.1 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
| Giancarlo Rosado |
6.8 |
4.4 |
1.9 |
11.3 |
8.7 |
13.1 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
| Brandon Weatherspoon |
5.3 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
7.4 |
6.2 |
8.3 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
| Jalen Gaffney |
4.6 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
9.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
| Tre Carroll |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Isaiah Gaines |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Brenen Lorient |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Alejandro Ralat |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Florida Atlantic Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
As of writing, no player props have been posted for FDU-FAU
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