We went 3-0 with our MLB player props last week, so hopefully that is a sign of things to come. Let's keep that momentum going as we head into Wednesday's slate. I am specifically looking to attack some advantageous spots for hitters with these bets. Here are my top three MLB player prop bets for Wednesday, June 10th.
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Wednesday's Best MLB Player Props & Bets
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-129 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
For my first MLB player prop on Wednesday, I'm backing Brandon Marsh of the Philadelphia Phillies to record at least two combined hits + runs + RBIs.
Marsh has provided great value on this combo prop this season. Among 161 qualified hitters, he owns the third-highest batting average, fueled by a .405 batting average on balls in play (BABIP). His 4.7% walk rate ranks 11th-lowest. Marsh has excelled in June, surpassing this mark in seven out of eight games. I expect that success to continue against Max Scherzer.
Scherzer is making his first start in about six weeks after dealing with a forearm injury. Perhaps the injury was to blame for some of Scherzer's struggles earlier in the season. But it is clear that the 41-year-old's best days as a starting pitcher in the Majors are behind him. Since joining the Toronto Blue Jays last year, Scherzer has a 5.99 ERA in 103.2 innings pitched.
Marsh will probably only get two chances to face Scherzer in this game. I cannot imagine Toronto pushing the veteran very far after such a long layoff. But the Phillies should be able to generate plenty of traffic on the basepaths while Scherzer is on the mound.
Marsh should find favorable matchups even once Scherzer exits. The Blue Jays will likely be without closer Louis Varland, who has pitched three of the last four days. With only one lefty in Toronto's bullpen, Marsh will mostly face right-handers. Marsh should continue his strong play on Wednesday and will clear this combo prop.
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120 at theScore Bet)
Next, I am taking Ian Happ of the Chicago Cubs to record at least two total bases. Happ faces Michael Lorenzen and the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday. Lorenzen has struggled more than any other pitcher in baseball against left-handed hitters by almost every metric.
Lorenzen has allowed a .432 batting average and a .752 slugging rate to lefties. Among 119 pitchers with at least 20 innings versus lefties, the next-highest number in each category belongs to Brady Singer (.354, .626). Lorenzen is essentially 20% worse than the next-worst pitcher. Now let's factor in additional information.
First is head-to-head history. Happ is 3-for-10 lifetime against Lorenzen, and all three hits went for extra bases. That includes two home runs. In fairness to Lorenzen, their last meeting was in 2021. But it is not as if Lorenzen has improved on the mound since then. If anything, he has devolved into the pitcher he is now.
Happ has been on a strong run since being benched a few weeks ago. Since moving to the fifth spot in the lineup on May 26th, he's collected at least two total bases in seven out of nine games against right-handed starting pitchers. In each of those seven games, Happ has produced at least one extra-base hit.
Of course, we cannot ignore the impact of Coors Field. Colorado's home park will always be among the most hitter-friendly venues in all of baseball. Happ has enjoyed recent success there as well. Happ has recorded at least two total bases in six of his last eight games in Coors Field.
That does include Tuesday's game, in which he failed to reach this number. Happ walked twice, which is a concern. His 13.9% walk rate is the 24th-highest among 161 qualified hitters. However, given all the factors involved, I am still comfortable betting on Happ to reach his total bases threshold.
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135 at Fanatics Sportsbook)
To wrap up my MLB props, I like Zack Gelof of the Athletics to notch at least two combined hits + runs + RBIs.
A quick disclaimer on this bet. Sportsbooks have been extremely slow to post offensive player props for this game. As I am writing this early on Wednesday morning, I have not seen Gelof's line available anywhere else.
I think the sportsbooks are still adjusting to the wonder that is Las Vegas Ballpark. There have been 41 runs scored and 17 home runs hit in the first two games of the series between the Athletics and the Milwaukee Brewers. This park is the bandbox of all bandboxes.
Gelof enters Wednesday's contest on a 14-game hitting streak, with at least two hits + runs + RBIs in 11 of those games. Milwaukee starter Brandon Sproat has allowed three or more earned runs in five straight and seven of his last eight starts. With his 3.5 earned run prop heavily favored to the over, the Athletics should encounter little resistance in scoring.
Gelof has solid numbers against Sproat's pitch arsenal as well. Sproat features a sinker, cutter, sweeper and four-seam fastball to right-handed hitters. Gelof is hitting .300 against those pitches thrown by righties this season to go along with a modest 8% percent walk rate.
If the price of Gelof's hits + runs + RBIs prop ends up being too high for your liking once the rest of the sportsbooks set the market, his total bases prop should be a solid alternative. Gelof has recorded at least two total bases in eight of his last 14 games and has homered in both Las Vegas games thus far.
