I found three +EV bets I’ll be rocking with for today’s NBA slate. Check out these market-based +EV NBA picks detailed below for today, October 24.
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Saturday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Yaxel Lendeborg Over 7.5 Rebounds (+117 at NoVig)
- Fair Value: -108
- Market EV: +13%
Yaxel Lendeborg already made a name for himself in college, but now he’s doing the same in the pros. He’s scored double figures in both games to start his NBA career. But more importantly, he hauled in 13 rebounds against the Grizzlies last night.
He’ll battle a Suns team that ranked 15th in rebounds last season.
Meanwhile, the fair value for his Over 7.5 rebounds is currently -108, but at NoVig you can land this bet at +117, which is a +13% market EV. After a 13-rebound game just last night, there’s confidence that he can put up this number on a game-by-game basis.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 45.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (+117 at NoVig)
- Fair Value: +100
- Market EV: +9%
Giannis Antetokounmpo has done his part for the Miami Heat this season. However, it hasn’t been good enough.
The Heat need to figure things out, and it starts with Giannis, who is clearly the team’s leader.
Anyway, Giannis just added 53 points + rebounds + assists against the Pistons yesterday. Ultimately, he’ll get an easier matchup against the Hornets tonight, even if it’s on the road.
NoVig has Giannis to earn 45.5 points + rebounds + assists at +117, when the fair value is currently +100. It’s never a bad idea to bet the over on a superstar who can stuff the box score. This is a 9% positive-EV play. Go grab it!
Julius Randle Over 7.5 Rebounds (+144 at Kalshi)
- Fair Value: +124
- Market EV: +9%
Julius Randle will be a star for the Brooklyn Nets. Other than Michael Porter Jr., he has little help around him. So you can expect to see some career highs from Randle with the Nets this season.
On Thursday, Randle added 33 points with eight rebounds against the Hornets. Since last season, he’s added at least 8 rebounds in 60% of his last 30 games.
Believe it or not, the Cavaliers only ranked 9th in the NBA in rebounds allowed to power forwards last year. Randle should be solid on the glass, and he’ll absolutely see an uptick in minutes this year.
At +144, Randle Over 7.5 Rebounds looks good. The fair value is +124. Head over to Kalshi and get this bet while you can.
