The Cleveland Cavaliers try to stave off elimination, while the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder battle for a 3-2 series lead tonight.
Can Darius Garland finally master the Indiana Pacers' defense? Or will the Cavaliers be sent packing? What should we expect from Chet Holmgren and Aaron Gordon in the late game?
Here are the three best NBA player props for Tuesday, May 13th.
Tuesday’s Best NBA Playoffs Player Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Darius Garland Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+100)
Darius Garland has yet to make more than two three-pointers in a game this series, but I'm backing him to get it together at home tonight. Garland missed over two weeks with an injury, so it's not shocking to see him struggling to find his stroke from long range. However, he's just 3-of-12 from deep in this series. That's too out of character for him to continue tonight.
During the regular season, Garland averaged 2.8 made three-pointers per game. He also knocked down 40.1% of his shots from beyond the arc. While he struggled percentage-wise in both of his regular-season games against the Pacers, he did make at least two threes in both contests, and he went 3-of-9 in one game. That performance came at home. With the Cavaliers facing elimination at home, take Garland to replicate that performance at a great price.
Chet Holmgren Under 9.5 Rebounds (+100)
Chet Holmgren has been phenomenal on the glass in this series, pulling down at least 11 rebounds in three consecutive games. However, I'm taking him to go under 10 rebounds tonight for a few reasons.
During the regular season, Holmgren recorded 10 or fewer rebounds in three of his four games against the Nuggets. In his final two regular-season games against them, he grabbed just 12 rebounds combined, despite playing at least 26 minutes in each contest.
Holmgren is hot right now, but he only managed six rebounds in Game 1. He played 40 minutes when he pulled down a series-high 16 boards in Game 3. Holmgren hasn't topped 30 minutes in any other game this series.
In the first round, Holmgren never grabbed more than 11 rebounds in a game, as he pulled down fewer than 9.5 twice. He averaged eight rebounds per game during the regular season. While he's playing well now, I'm backing him to revert to his average for this price.
Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-110)
Aaron Gordon has been on fire from beyond the arc in this series, shooting 54.5% from deep and making at least two three-pointers in all four games. Even in Game 4, when the Nuggets scored just 87 points, Gordon managed to go 3-of-7 from deep.
In the regular season, Gordon averaged just 1.5 made three-pointers per game while shooting 43.6% from beyond the arc. There's a chance he starts to come back down to earth in Game 5. However, the total and price don't seem to have adjusted at all to how well Gordon is playing right now. Because of that, this is a must-play, especially since the Thunder currently have no answer for the sharpshooter.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.

