The Kansas City Chiefs are looking to repeat as Super Bowl champions. To accomplish this feat, their second-ranked defense will need to slow down the San Francisco 49ers’ second-ranked scoring offense. Additionally, the KC offense will need to break out of their second-half woes and likely exceed their season average of 22.1 points per game.
Below are the best PrizePicks plays for the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII. And be sure to check out our NFL PrizePicks Cheat Sheet for even more predictions.
Our PrizePicks Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our weekly NFL projections >>
The Kansas City Chiefs are looking to repeat as Super Bowl champions. To accomplish this feat, their second-ranked defense will need to slow down the San Francisco 49ers’ second-ranked scoring offense. Additionally, the KC offense will need to break out of their second-half woes and likely exceed their season average of 22.1 points per game.
Below are the best PrizePicks plays for the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII. And be sure to check out our NFL PrizePicks Cheat Sheet for even more predictions.
Our PrizePicks Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our weekly NFL projections >>
Super Bowl PrizePicks: Kansas City Chiefs
Maybe this play is too obvious, but it’s also the easiest bet of the entire Super Bowl. Pacheco has carried the ball 63 times in the postseason, rushing for at least 68 yards in every game. In the postseason, we get to see what season-long stats were real, and which were fake. The 49ers finishing the regular season as the third-ranked rush defense was not indicative of how their defense played this year.
The 49ers were playing from ahead in almost every game this season. Due to that, teams didn't run against them. When teams did run, they had success, as the 49ers allowed 4.3 yards per rushing attempt during the regular season.
The Lions ran the ball extremely well against the 49ers in the NFC Championship. With Patrick Mahomes under center, the 49ers can't sell out to stop Pacheco. That's going to leave him plenty of room to operate. Don't be surprised if Pacheco comes close to 100 yards.
Watson has been targeted just five times in the postseason, and he's only caught three passes. Two of his three catches came in the Chiefs’ win over the Dolphins back in the Wild Card round. Since this is the Super Bowl, it can be tempting to create storylines about players doing more than they did at any point in the season. That may come to fruition for some, but Watson is not one of those players.
Watson ended the regular season with one or fewer catches in five of his last six games. With Rashee Rice taking over as the clear No. 1 wide receiver in the offense, Watson has found himself struggling to get any attention. Mahomes has thrown 91 passes this postseason, and five players have been targeted more than Watson. Since Watson is not a short-yardage guy, there aren't going to be many easy opportunities for him on Sunday.
Kelce had just five touchdowns in the regular season. He already has three in the playoffs. He and Mahomes are finally starting to click, and there is no reason to expect that to stop in the Super Bowl.
Kelce has scored a touchdown in two of the three Super Bowls in which he has appeared. As far as the one in which he didn't score, Kelce still caught 10 passes for 133 yards. Mahomes looks to Kelce a lot in the biggest moments. Against a 49ers’ secondary that showed some weaknesses last week, Mahomes and Kelce are going to have at least a few opportunities to connect in the end zone.
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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.
