The Fourth of July weekend closes with two WNBA games - the Dallas Wings versus the Toronto Tempo and the Indiana Fever versus the Las Vegas Aces. With plenty of star power, both matchups offer plenty of WNBA player props to bet on. Here are my top picks for the day.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Sunday’s Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Paige Bueckers Over 21.5 Points (-110)
Paige Bueckers is averaging 20.2 points per game this season and has gone over this total in just nine of 19 games. However, she has done so in her last four games and in six of her last nine.
Toronto is one of four teams allowing 90+ points per game, but they do play slightly better defense at home (85.6 points per game). But they will not be able to slow Bueckers down for long, if at all. She'll score 22+ points today.
Marina Mabrey Over 3.5 Made Three-Pointers (-102)
For most players, the thought of taking the over on this total would be preposterous (unless the odds were unusually favorable). If you look at how well Marina Mabrey has played all season, it looks like a bad idea to take the over.
But it isn't.
Mabrey made nine three-pointers in two of her last three games and has gone over this total in four of her last seven games.
Dallas can be tough on three-point shooters. They allow 7.6 three-pointers per game, the third-fewest per game, but Mabrey is on a roll. Don't count on nine again, but she'll be good for four.
Kelsey Mitchell Over 23.5 Points (-114)
Kelsey Mitchell has averaged 21.1 points per game this season and is coming off a 26-point effort against the Sparks. She has gone over this total in four of her last six games.
With Caitlin Clark out, the offense will flow through Mitchell more than usual. The Aces may slow her down momentarily, but there is no way their lackluster defense can contain her for the whole game. It's a big total, but she'll go over it.
Jewell Loyd Over 10.5 Points (-114)
Jewell Loyd is averaging just 8.1 points per game this season, but she had 19 in her last game. With A'ja Wilson out, the rest of the Aces’ offense will need to pick up the slack. That includes Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray and NaLyssa Smith.
But they are facing an Indiana opponent that struggles to play defense. Every Aces starter will have a shot at going over their respective totals. Loyd will not need to do much more than hit her season average to cash the over.
