The Steelers travel to face the Bengals for Sunday Night Football this week, with the winner of the battle between the two 6-2 clubs taking the top spot in the AFC North. Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati 30-27 in an exciting Week 3 matchup. The Bengals will look to square the ledger as 3.5-point favorites. The game is expected to be a shootout, with a total of 49.5 points.
Gamblers who enjoy overs are in luck, as the following three-leg NFL Sunday Night Football same game parlay (SGP) features three overs. Last week’s +410 Sunday Night Football SGP hit, bringing the season’s record to 2-7 (+2.60 units). This week’s parlay has even longer odds.
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NFL Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Steelers vs. Bengals
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
- Leg 1: Joe Burrow 270+ Passing Yards (-175)
- Leg 2: Jaylen Warren 110+ Rushing + Receiving Yards (+166)
- Leg 3: Darnell Washington 20+ Receiving Yards (-210)
Joe Burrow is cooking with gas this season. According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, Burrow has recorded the following stats this season (rankings among 31 quarterbacks with at least 150 dropbacks):
- 40.1 dropbacks per game (6th)
- 298.3 passing yards per game (1st)
- 8.06 yards per pass attempt (5th)
- 7.95 adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) (4th)
Cincinnati’s precision passer opened the year with just 254 and 207 passing yards in his first two games, but he’s ripped off 282 (in Pittsburgh), 428, 190, 292, 462 and 271 yards in six subsequent contests. That’s three straight games with 270+ passing yards (and five of his last six). He averaged 320.8 passing yards per game in those contests.
Burrow’s matchup against the Steelers is also favorable. Pittsburgh ranks 22nd in passing yards allowed per game (242), and back-to-back quarterbacks they’ve faced have reached 270+ passing yards. FantasyPros projects Burrow for 286.4 passing yards against this AFC North foe on Sunday Night Football.
Jaylen Warren has played sensational football this season. He is a game-script-proof, do-it-all stud. According to Pro-Football-Reference, Warren has racked up 998 scrimmage yards in eight games, averaging 124.75 combined rushing + receiving yards per game.
Since opening with rock-solid totals of 73 and 77 scrimmage yards in Week 1 and Week 2, respectively, Warren has gone on a nuclear heater, with 176, 126, 188, 78, 137 and 143 combined yards. Warren should also have fresh legs out of Pittsburgh’s bye.
Warren is in another eruption spot. The Bengals have permitted 120.6 scrimmage yards per game, 4.47 yards per carry and 6.29 yards per target to running backs through eight games. Warren dunked on the Bengals for 176 scrimmage yards on 17 carries and three receptions in their first meeting, and he should smash again this week.
Darnell Washington is a meaningful contributor in Pittsburgh’s passing attack, not merely a novelty act. Washington has the following numbers this year:
- 64.4% snap share
- 35.8% route participation rate
- 9.3% target share
- 0.24 targets per route run (TPRR)
- 8.3% air yard share
- 2.4 receptions per game
- 31.8 receiving yards per game
- 2.23 yards per route run (YPRR)
After recording only 18 and seven receiving yards in his first two games this year, Washington has reached at least 20 receiving yards in four of his last six contests, including 67 yards against the Bengals.
Cincinnati remains a plus matchup for tight ends. The Bengals rank tied for 27th in receptions allowed per game (6.6), 31st in receiving yards allowed per game (80.6) and 30th in yards allowed per target (8.96) to tight ends. They have allowed 12 tight ends to record at least 20 receiving yards against them this season, and multiple tight ends have done so in the same contest in four games. FantasyPros projects Washington for 32.5 receiving yards against the Bengals on Sunday Night Football.
Parlay Odds: +475
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.