There are four WNBA games scheduled for Sunday, of which some are expected to be competitive, making it more challenging to wager on the traditional betting line. However, for the right WNBA Player Props, that is not the case at all. Am I trying to say these are a lock? No.
But I am saying that after doing a deep dive into the stats, odds, and trends, the following are my top picks for the day.
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Sunday's Best WNBA Player Prop Picks
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty
In her last five games, Jonquel Jones has scored as few as eight points and as many as 22; she is averaging 14.6 per game this season. Her rebounding has also been inconsistent, ranging from five to 14; she averages 9.1. She has been good for 10+ rebounds in seven of her last 13 games and 10+ points in 11. So, more often than not, she is close to, if not going over, this total.
But I'm going with the Under here because she finished Under this total in all three prior games vs. Vegas this season.
Pick: Jonquel Jones Under 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics
Washington is enjoying a five-game winning streak and has been playing solid defense. Still, during their winning streak, five different players have gone Over this total. Since her return, Kelsey Plum has gone over it in all three games played, and did so in eight of 12 before her injury. Plum is one of the best scoring threats in this league. She has her off nights, too.
However, until she has one with Phoenix, I'm going to keep taking the over on her point total.
Pick: Kelsey Plum Over 18.5 Points (-110)
Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx
Napheesa Collier finally cracked 20 points in her last two games since returning and is now averaging 18.8 points per game. While Dallas has been having some issues lately, they've been solid on the defensive end (No. 1 in scoring with 83.2 ppg allowed over their last five). Only two forwards went over this total in those five games (Angel Reese, Diamond Miller). Now, Collier is better than both players, but Dallas is playing solid defense.
I'll consider the Over for her the next time she plays a soft opponent (Dallas is far from soft).
Pick: Napheesa Collier Under 19.5 Points (-106)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Burton is not the best 3-point shooter the Valkyries have, but she has the best price among the usual suspects (Kayla Thornton, Janelle Salaun, etc.). She has gone over this total in 15 of 31 games this season, but also in five of her last six. In the last five games, teams have averaged 11.4 made threes and 39.3% shooting against the Sparks.
Golden State lives and dies by the three, so you know multiple players (like Burton) will be shooting early and often from behind the line.
Pick: Veronica Burton Over 1.5 Made Threes (-106)
