Last week was heartbreaking for both of these teams. Kansas almost beat Oklahoma which, was the highest spread for a Big 12 game all year. But, Oklahoma State lost to Iowa State, ruining their hopes for the college football playoffs. The loss was too familiar to the 2011 Oklahoma State loss at Iowa State when they were ranked #2 in college football. When Oklahoma State lost to Iowa State in 2011, the next week, they beat #10 Oklahoma 44-10.
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
- Opening Lines: Oklahoma State -29.5, Total 58.5
- Current Lines: Oklahoma State -29.5, Total 54.5
- Last Game: Oklahoma State 47-7
- Oklahoma State is 16-1 since 1998 against Kansas
Oklahoma State has dominated Kansas in football over the last 17 years. They are 16-1 and average 44 points against Kansas during that period. Kansas averaged 19 points throughout those games. This year Oklahoma State is averaging 160 yards running the football. That is similar to the number of rushing yards Iowa State has per game. With such similar stats, we know that Oklahoma State will be able to run the ball. The hard part about betting this game is that Oklahoma State has not scored over 32 points in a game this year. They have relied on their defense all year to win games. The average amount of total points scored per game is 41.
Kansas is giving up an average of 42 points per game. That is more than Oklahoma State is averaging for points scored totals in their game. Kansas has a decent running game, and to have a chance to win this game, they will need to run the ball. The game against Oklahoma helped them notice that and should be a part of their game plan going into this week. Both teams will want to control the clock. That plays right into Kansas for covering the spread going into this matchup.
History can tell us a lot about games. Over the last 17 games, the score has averaged 44-19. That data and the fact that Oklahoma State has not scored over 32 points in a game this year help us pick this bet. Kansas is a bad team, and if they beat Oklahoma, it would have been the biggest upset in college football this year. Oklahoma State is going to try and control the clock in this matchup. Oklahoma State is going to start looking ahead to next week’s game versus West Virginia. Betting on history and that Kansas catches Oklahoma State looking ahead, the spread is the play.
Pick: Kansas +29.5 (-110)
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