With 12 games on the MLB slate today, I’ve added two MLB same-game parlays (SGPs) to consider. If we hit one, we’ll add some profit. Join me below.
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Thursday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
- Leg 1: Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
- Leg 2: Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)
- Leg 3: Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Total Bases (-125)
The Cincinnati Reds will send out Brady Singer for tonight’s game. The right-hander has allowed a .260 ISO and a wOBA of .461 to his last 124 batters, basically struggling against both sides of the plate during that stretch.
The Braves have many hitters who have dominated right-handed pitching recently. Those same hitters should have a blast against Singer tonight.
Drake Baldwin has knocked a .218 ISO and a wOBA of .443 against his last 84 righties. Additionally, Ronald Acuna Jr. has earned a .306 ISO and a wOBA of .455 against his last 82 righties. Michael Harris has contributed a .265 ISO and a wOBA of .332 against his last 72 righties.
Singer has allowed a 12.9% barrel rate with almost 59% of hard contact in the last month. He’s also added just 14.5% of strikeouts in that span. Let’s stack Braves hitters tonight.
Parlay Odds: +586
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Leg 1: Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
- Leg 2: Will Smith Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
- Leg 3: Nick Pivetta Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-111)
Nick Pivetta will take the hill for the Padres tonight. The right-hander has struggled against other righties lately, allowing a .261 ISO and a wOBA of .369 to his last 23 righties.
Pivetta has allowed over 42% of fly balls and a 15.8% barrel rate to those righties, while adding just 17.4% of strikeouts. His strikeout rate has dropped to 20.4% in the last month, down from 29.2% for the season.
The Dodgers’ projected lineup has struck out just 19.7% of the time against righties, so it’s unlikely Pivetta will rack up many strikeouts.
Righties Mookie Betts and Will Smith are currently producing against right-handed pitching. Betts has hit a .295 ISO and a wOBA of .445 with only 9.7% of strikeouts over the last month against righties. Smith has a .273 ISO and a wOBA of .354 with only 16.7% of strikeouts against righties in the last 30 days.
Let’s ride it out with Dodgers righties to finish this parlay.
Parlay Odds: +763
