The NBA season is in full swing, and I'm breaking down my three favorite NBA player props for today's slate. From points, rebounds, and assists to three-pointers and combo props, I'm looking at the numbers, recent performance, matchups, and projected opportunities to find the best value. Let's dive into today's NBA player props.
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Monday's Best NBA Player Props & Bets
Odds are subject to change | All bets are to win 1 unit
Jabari Smith Jr Over 13.5 Points (-115 at Fanatics)
Smith has shot well all season, with a 51% field goal percentage and 2.8 threes per game. 44% of his points are scored off the catch-and-shoot, where Denver allows the most points. 45% of his points come from above-the-break threes; Denver ranks 17th. He hit the over in three of four matchups against the Nuggets last season, averaging 17.5 PPG.
Dylan Harper Over 16.5 Points (-105 at Fanatics)
The Suns’ defense does one thing really well: limiting transition points. Harper scores 30% of his points in transition. However, he is scoring 43% of his points from spot-up, as the pick-and-roll ball-handler, and from the free-throw line, where the Suns rank in the bottom 10 in each area. Of course, there is blowout potential with the Spurs being favored by 9.5. In games the Spurs have won by 8+, Harper is averaging 18.2 PPG and over in four of six games while averaging 30 minutes per game.
Yaxel Lendeborg Over 7.5 Rebounds (+109 at DraftKings)
This season Yaxel is averaging 7.4 rebounds on 13 rebound chances per game with Draymond Green in the lineup. The Pelicans rank 24th in rebounds vs his position so narrowing the games down to teams outside of the top-10 DvP, he is averaging 8.5 rebounds on 12.5 chances and over in three of four games. Against teams that are top half of the NBA in pace he has cleared in all three games (13, 9, 8); the Pelicans play at the 4th fastest pace.
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