Six NBA games are being played tonight, and I'm making picks for three of them. First, I explain why the Knicks are going to continue their defensive dominance against the struggling Bucks. Then, I highlight why the Jazz's offensive woes and the Thunder's winning streak will continue.
Here are the best NBA bets for Tuesday, November 10.
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Tuesday’s Best NBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks
The Knicks’ defense has been phenomenal for four consecutive games. Opponents have scored 105 points or fewer in every game during that stretch, scoring less than 100 three times. The Knicks most recently held the Cavaliers, who are averaging 117.0 points per game, to just 97 points and 43% from the field.
The Bucks are averaging 108.4 points per game, but they only managed 97 on Sunday against the Celtics. They've now scored 102 or fewer points in five of their last seven games, scoring 100 or fewer three times during that span.
The Bucks are averaging 43.6 3-point attempts per game, which is the second-most in the league. However, they're not very good from beyond the arc, shooting just 33.5% from deep. That percentage is unlikely to improve against a defense holding opponents to just 33.3% from 3-point range.
Pick: Bucks Under 101.5 Points (-110)
Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz
The Heat are allowing 121.1 points per game, but this total is giving the Jazz way more credit than they deserve. The Jazz have lost eight consecutive games, scoring 105 or fewer in five of their last seven contests. Both games where they topped 105 featured overtime. Utah didn't score more than 105 in regulation in either of those games.
The Heat have allowed at least 113 points in all but one game this season. However, that performance came in their most recent contest, as they held the Kings to just 108 points. The Kings are one of just eight teams averaging fewer than 110 points per game this season, but they're still averaging 2.9 more per game than the Jazz.
The Jazz have been decimated by injuries, and though Lauri Markkanen is questionable for this game, they'll be without Keyonte George, Jusuf Nurkic, and Jaren Jackson Jr. For as good a scorer as Markkanen can be, his presence won't make all that much of a difference for this offense. After all, he's missed just two games, so the Jazz have still struggled even when he plays. And if he doesn't play, I don't expect the Jazz to top 100 in this game.
Pick: Jazz Under 107.5 Points (-110)
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Despite a slew of injuries, the Thunder continue to find ways to win. They've now won four consecutive games, with their last two wins by a combined 70 points. The offense is averaging just 112.2 points per game this season, but has managed at least 114 in each game of the Thunder's winning streak.
A big part of the Thunder's success has been the elevated play of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. After averaging 26.0 points per game in October, he's averaging 35.8 points per game this month. He's scored at least 28 in all four of his November games, topping 40 twice.
The Trail Blazers have lost back-to-back games, with their most recent defeat coming by 22 points at home against the Spurs. The Trail Blazers are averaging 119.3 points per game, which ranks third in the league. However, I don't expect them to get anywhere near that number against a defense allowing just 104.2 per contest.
Additionally, the Thunder have the best shooting defense in the NBA, allowing teams to make just 40.8% of their field goals. Even on the road, the Thunder allow teams to shoot just 41.9%.
Pick: Thunder -1.5 (-112)
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.