The 2022-23 NFL season has officially arrived, the preseason is underway, with its first full slate happening this weekend. With seemingly more quarterback battles than usual going on throughout the league, and many young guys looking to prove themselves, there’s plenty of value to be had for those willing to dig deep.
Let’s take a closer look at a few spots I’m on for the Saturday games.
(Odds courtesy DraftKings)
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Chicago Bears
After opening as 2.5-point favorites, this one swung all the to Chicago +1 before settling in as a pick-em as of Friday morning. I’m fading the line movement, however, as Bears head coach Matt Eberflus has said throughout the week how much his starters will play, including quarterback Justin Fields.
The Bears also have two backups in Trevor Siemian and Nathan Peterman, making their QB depth amongst the most experienced in the league. On the other side of this matchup, the Chiefs lack depth at the QB position in Shane Buechele and Dustin Crum.
I like for the Bears to take command of this game late.
Bet: Bears ML (-110 at DraftKings)
Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
For the first time in nearly two decades in Pittsburgh, the preseason suddenly matters.
With the retirement of Ben Roethlisberger this offseason, a QB competition is officially underway as first round draft pick (and Pitt alum) Kenny Pickett is competing against NFL veterans Mitch Trubisky and Mason Rudolph.
The Seahawks also have a QB competition underway, as Drew Lock and Geno Smith are competing for the job, and Jacob Eason is likely a solidified #3.
The difference here comes down to the talent around them. Rookie George Pickens has been turning heads thus far at camp for the Steelers and will no doubt be a focus of these preseason games. The Seahawks, on the other hand, saw a departure of talent when Russel Wilson and Bobby Wagner left this offseason. They also traded former All-Pro tackle Duane Brown to the Jets.
Add in the most expensive defense in the NFL, which is two-deep with studs at most positions, and I like for the Steelers to get this one done at home in Pittsburgh.
Despite already missing the best number at -3 when it opened, I still like the Steelers and think we see them put extra importance on this preseason given the changing of guards in the Steel City at the quarterback position.
Bet: Steelers -3.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts
Bet: Bills +1.5 (-105 at FanDuel)
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