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Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills Odds & Game Pick (2021)

by December 29, 2021
Josh Allen

The NFL regular season is starting to wind down with two weeks remaining. With the last couple of weeks being absolute chaos with safety protocols, bettors need to pay attention to rosters before placing bets in the remaining regular-season games. Rosters aren’t the only thing that bettors should look into right now. Towards the end of the season, players and coaches play for their jobs. That can add additional factors while betting on games. Be cautious when betting these last few weeks, but know there is plenty of betting value in the final weeks of the NFL. 

View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Details

  • Opening Lines: Buffalo Bills -8.5, Total 49
  • Current Lines: Buffalo Bills -14.5, Total 44.5
  • Last Game: October 1, 2017, Buffalo Bills 23-17
  • Winning Streak: Buffalo Bills (1)

Overview

The Buffalo Bills have been one of the most frustrating teams this year. They have gone from being one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL to lose 9-6 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Even though the Bills average 28.5 points per game, their scoring has gone down to 24 in their last five games. The Bills offense has regressed in recent weeks, but the Bills defense has been one of the best in the NFL. They allow 299 total yards and 17.6 points per game. The Bills have struggled to stop opposing teams running games lately, allowing a 100+ yard rusher in four of their last six games. The Bills have shown they are a good team but are starting to display weaknesses.

Atlanta can still make the playoffs. They need to win this game. They need other teams to lose, but they have a chance. Teams play harder towards the end of the season when they are playing for something, and the Falcons are in that position. Offensively, the Falcons are in the middle of the pack. They average 18.5 points per game. The offense gets better when Cordarrelle Patterson plays. They average 21 points per game when he plays. The Falcons have had low-scoring games, but those have been games where Patterson sits out. Keep an eye on Patterson’s availability with the increase of players placed in safety protocol. In the two games Patterson didn’t play, the Falcons scored three total points. 

Bottom Line

The Falcons have lost to the Bills by 14.5 or more points one time since the teams started playing each other. That loss was 29 years ago, back in 1992. The Falcons have lost by 14.5 or more three times this season when Patterson has played. Two of those games were the first two games of the season. The Falcons have something to play for in this game, and fifteen points is a big spread to cover in the NFL when teams are playing for something. The line has moved six points, which increases the betting value too. Take the betting value in this game. 

Pick:  Atlanta Falcons +14.5  (-115)

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Cameron Lynch is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Cameron, check out his archive and follow him @captron26.

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