We are in store for a solid seven-game slate that offers up tremendous opportunities in the NBA player props department. Here are some of our favorites for Sunday, December 7th.
Sunday’s Best NBA Player Props
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Mikal Bridges 2+ Steals (-177)
The combined steals + blocks prop we have been riding for a few weeks unfortunately missed on Friday. However, we are going back to the well once again, albeit in a slightly different direction. Mikal Bridges is averaging two steals per game this season. He has compiled 28 steals over the previous 11 contests - including two or more steals in 10 out of the last 11 games. The Knicks forward is averaging two steals per game over the last six contests.
Bridges has recorded at least two steals in 15 out of 22 games. The forward out of Villanova has accumulated a total of two steals in six out of the last seven games played at home. Bridges is averaging two steals against the Orlando Magic over two contests this season.
The juice for this prop has gone into orbit. Having said that, this is a perfect piece to add with something throughout the day with either an NFL or NBA option. The success rate is simply too high to leave this option out of Sunday's slate. We confidently feel Bridges will finish with at least two steals today.
Jakob Poeltl has only eclipsed 9.5 rebounds in four out of 17 contests. The Raptors center is averaging 9.1 boards through the previous 10 games. Poeltl has grabbed 10 rebounds in two out of the previous 10 contests. The 30-year-old is averaging 8.5 rebounds over his last eight home games.
The veteran center is averaging 24.5 minutes over the last two contests - compared to 32.5 minutes in the two games prior. That's a massive dip, which has resulted in no more than seven rebounds in each contest. If this becomes a trend, it's better to get on it in the early stages.
Poeltl is averaging 8.9 rebounds over his last eight games played against the Celtics, and 9.5 boards in the previous two games played at home against Boston. This seems like a high total considering the regression in playing time over the past two contests. The under for this rebound prop selection appears to be the best course of action.
Ryan Kalkbrenner is averaging 9.1 points this season on an other-worldly 80% shooting from the field. When playing at home, those numbers stay in place for the most part - nine points on 77.4% shooting. Kalkbrenner is coming off a 12-point performance against Toronto on Friday.
Kalkbrenner has reached nine points in 11 out of 21 games this season. He sports a usage rate of 11%, even though he is only on the floor for 25.6 minutes per game. Kalkbrenner owns a true shooting rate of 80.9% and has not shot below 50% in the previous 14 games played.
The Hornets center is averaging 9.3 points in the last three games against the Western Conference this season. This is more of a sprinkle selection. However, we feel Kalkbrenner scores at least nine points against Denver in this contest.
Cedric Coward Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-136)
Cedric Coward is averaging 1.5 baskets from deep each contest. He has not made two shots or more from beyond the perimeter in nine out of 23 games. The rookie forward is hitting a slim 32.7% when shooting from three-point range.
Coward has not connected on two baskets from beyond the arc in six contests. The Grizzlies forward is shooting a horrific 9.5% from deep on his last 29 attempts. Coward only made three of the 29 attempts over the six contests. Change is certainly on the way. However, we don't think it will come in this game.
Portland allows 12.6 three-pointers made per game on the season. The Trail Blazers rank seventh in the NBA in three-pointers conceded each game. The opposition is only hitting 11.3 of their attempts per game in the last three games. Opponents are shooting 32.1% from above the perimeter when playing against Portland through the last three contests.
Luka Doncic Over 40.5 Points + Assists (-119)
Luka Doncic will once again take the floor for the Lakers after missing the previous two games due to the birth of his second daughter. We expect a possibly somewhat sleep-deprived, but excited Doncic to be out there absolutely giving Philadelphia the business in this contest.
Doncic is averaging 35.3 points and 8.9 assists on the season. The Lakers guard has reached a combined 41 points + assists in seven consecutive contests - including five road games. Doncic has only fallen short of the 40.5 threshold in four games throughout November and December.
Doncic is averaging over 40 points on three days of rest or more. In the three contests played against Eastern Conference opponents, Doncic is averaging 33.6 points and eight assists. It would not be surprising at all to see the Lakers guard fly over the 40.5 number.
Enjoy the games today. Best of luck with your picks.
