Skip to main content Skip to navigation Skip to footer

NFL Sunday Night Football Anytime TD & Win Parlay: Steelers vs. Chargers

NFL Sunday Night Football Anytime TD & Win Parlay: Steelers vs. Chargers

Sunday Night Football brings us another primetime showdown, and it's the perfect spot to build a same game anytime TD & win parlay. With the spotlight on two playoff-hopeful teams, we'll zero in on who comes out on top and which playmaker is most likely to find the end zone. 

Let's break down the matchup and lock in a parlay that combines the winning side with an anytime touchdown scorer for maximum value.

Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>

NFL Betting Systems

Best NFL Sunday Night Football Anytime TD & Win Parlay Picks

(Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Leg 1: Oronde Gadsden Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)

Oronde Gadsden has been particularly effective against zone coverage, which the Steelers run at one of the highest rates in the league (58.7%). In those situations, he sees a boost in almost every efficiency category: +16.9% yards per route, +25.7% yards after the catch and +43.7% yards after contact relative to his averages. 

Pittsburgh's defense has quietly struggled to limit scoring from pass-catchers, allowing the second-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends (six) and rank in the top three in explosive receptions allowed (59-yard longest receptions, 24-yard longest touchdown reception).

If the Steelers continue their red-zone tendencies (19 red-zone targets allowed to opposing tight ends; second-most), Gadsden has a strong path to converting another score.

Despite really stepping into a major role only recently, Gadsden has the seventh-most red-zone targets among tight ends with nine.


Leg 2: Keenan Allen Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+190)

This matchup sets up well for the veteran receiver. As mentioned, Pittsburgh plays zone at one of the highest clips in the NFL (58.7%), and that's exactly where Keenan Allen has crushed defenses this season. Against zone, he sees major spikes in usage and efficiency - including a +9.3% increase in targets, +8.7% increase in receptions and a +19.7% increase in touchdowns versus his baseline. 

This matches perfectly with Pittsburgh's weakness: Explosive pass plays and touchdowns allowed. They've already given up 36 explosive receptions (12.9%) and two touchdowns of 20+ yards - dangerous territory when facing a savvy route technician who consistently finds soft spots in zone coverage.

Allen also owns nine receptions of 20+ yards and a 31-yard long touchdown catch this season, proving he can score from anywhere - not just inside the 10-yard line.

And to add the cherry on top, only Davante Adams, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Ja'Marr Chase have more red-zone targets than Keenan Allen, which may come as a surprise to many.


Leg 3: Chargers Moneyline (-162)

The Chargers' offensive line issues are real, and on paper, that's a concern against a very aggressive Steelers front. But the current number of Steelers +2.5/+3 feels like an overreaction to what we saw last week.

Pittsburgh pulled off a big upset - but that result was far more about the Colts’ mistakes than the Steelers’ dominance. The Colts turned the ball over six times, their worst outing of the season by a mile. Daniel Jones has only thrown two or more interceptions twice all year - one of them coming in that game. Despite the turnovers, Indianapolis still out-gained Pittsburgh in nearly every offensive metric. That's not sustainable defensive success - that's an anomaly.

On the flip side, the Chargers' close call against Tennessee looks much different when you dig deeper. Fourteen of the Titans' 20 points came from a pick-six and a punt return touchdown. That's not struggling - that's dominating everywhere except special teams disasters.

When we filter out the noise and look at who actually controlled football games last week, the gap between these two teams becomes very clear.

Parlay Odds: +1000


BettingPros App 3.0