Someone must score the first TD of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
I will track my plays here on BettingPros. Let's get to the first touchdown scorer predictions for NFL Week 15!
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NFL Week 15 First Touchdown Scorer Picks & Predictions
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
The first touchdown scorer in this matchup could come down to which team possesses the ball first. The Bills possess the ball first 30% of the time, but score on 50% of first possessions. The Patriots get the first possession 50% of the time, but score only 30% of the time on their first possession. The Bills allow the most rushing touchdowns per game (1.23) to the running back position. Rhamondre Stevenson has played two games since returning from injury and led the backfield in snaps and rushing attempts before the bye week. Despite splitting red zone attempts last game, Stevenson is the goal-line back and offers excellent value to score first.
Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson (+1600 at bet365)
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Omarion Hampton returned from injury last week to see 31% of snaps against the Eagles. He had 13 carries for 56 yards and two receptions for 11 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 4.3 yards per carry and was efficient on the ground. His usage should increase moving forward, and his usage in the red zone was promising. He saw five attempts inside the 20 last week, so he should have a decent chance to score first.
Pick: Omarion Hampton (+800 at bet365)
Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos
The Broncos may have one of the best defenses in the league, but the Packers allow the fewest (1.2) points per first quarter. The Broncos allow 4.2 points per first quarter, so the Packers should have a better chance of scoring first. Running backs typically have a tough day against the Broncos, but if anyone can find the end zone, it is Josh Jacobs. He has 12 rushing touchdowns in 12 games this season and leads the team with 45 red zone rushing attempts.
Pick: Josh Jacobs (+475 at BetMGM)
Detroit Lions @ Los Angeles Rams
This game has the highest total of the week at 54.5, and both teams score on 50% of their first possessions. Davante Adams leads the Rams with 14 touchdowns this season, but failed to score last week after two consecutive games with two touchdowns. He also has all 12 of his touchdowns in the red zone, on 30 targets. Adams and Matthew Stafford are automatic in the red zone and should have a great chance of scoring first.
Pick: Davante Adams (+550 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Indianapolis Colts @ Seattle Seahawks
The Colts lost Daniel Jones and could be starting Philip Rivers this week. The Colts are not projected to score many points on offense, and the Seahawks are likely to have the best chance to score first. This offense runs through Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who averages 9.3 targets per game. He has 13 red zone targets this season and has scored the first touchdown four times. JSN is the favorite for a reason and should have a great chance to score first.
Pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+475 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
