Last week was another profitable one on the Anytime Touchdown (ATD) and First Touchdown (FTD) fronts. It was my third straight winning week and sixth in the last seven. Let’s keep the good vibes going with this week’s picks.
As a reminder, I am tracking these using bet sizes of 0.4 units on anytime touchdown picks and 0.1 units on first touchdown picks. Whether you play one or all, use your discretion and adjust as you see fit. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify this week’s best bets.
Here are all of our top NFL Week 17 First and Anytime TD scorer picks for Sunday. Below we dive into my favorite NFL Week 17 anytime and first TD scorers for Chargers vs. Patriots.
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Best NFL Week 17 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets: Chargers vs. Patriots
All wagers are 0.5 units
NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets
Who will score a touchdown in this week’s NFL Games? The Anytime TD market covers any player who carries or receives the ball into the end zone, not the quarterback who passes the ball. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify today’s best bets. View Anytime Touchdown odds across sportsbooks here.
Chargers vs. Patriots
- Anytime TD Odds: +170 at FanDuel Sportsbook
- First TD Odds: +750 at FanDuel Sportsbook
The New England Patriots enter their Week 17 matchup with the Los Angeles Chargers ranking 31st in defensive DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) versus the pass and 28th against the run. Los Angeles should have advantages in most areas of the field. Except on the outside against New England’s Christian Gonzalez. Gonzalez ranks ninth in Pro Football Focus’ (PFF) coverage grade and the Patriots play man coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL.
While Gonzalez lines up in the slot just 18% of the time, Chargers rookie wideout Ladd McConkey lines up inside on 72% of the snaps. McConkey has averaged 3.10 yards per route man versus man coverage this season. That is 10th-highest among 67 players with at least 10 targets against man coverage. I expect McConkey to take advantage of this matchup and score a touchdown in Week 17.
