Last week started so well. My first pick of the week, Chris Godwin, hit his Anytime Touchdown (ATD) as well as his First Touchdown (FTD) for a cool +250/+1700 payout. After that, however, there was not much for me to crow about. I did hit a few other ATDs, but they were few and far between. Such is the nature of the ATD and FTD beast. I am back at it again this week to hopefully have better results.
As I have mentioned previously and will continue to emphasize, I am tracking these using bet sizes of 0.4 units on ATD and 0.1 units on FTD. Use your discretion and adjust as you see fit. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify this week's best bets. Here are all of my NFL first and anytime TD picks for Week 4. Below we dive into our top NFL anytime TD and win picks for Giants vs. Browns.
- NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
- NFL Same Game Parlay Builder
- Touchdown Scorer Picks: Anytime | First
- More NFL Betting Advice
NFL Week 3 Anytime & First TD Scorers: Giants vs. Browns
(All wagers are 0.5 units)
Who will score a touchdown in this week’s NFL Games? The Anytime TD market covers any player who carries or receives the ball into the end zone, not the QB who passes the ball. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify today’s best bets. View Anytime Touchdown odds across sportsbooks here.
Giants vs. Browns
- Anytime TD Odds: +145 at ESPNBet
- First TD Odds: +600 at ESPNBet
Cleveland gave D'Onta Foreman the start over Jerome Ford last week. If that happens again in this game, then perhaps a Foreman FTD bet (+700 at BetRivers) is worth a look. But I still believe Ford is the better Browns back, and the more likely of the two to score on Sunday against the New York Giants.
Ford is averaging 5.7 yards per carry and has secured seven of nine targets in the passing game. Foreman is averaging three yards per rush and fumbled the ball near the goal line last week. New York has allowed opposing running backs to rush for 5.81 yards per carry and catch 11 of 13 targets out of the backfield through two weeks. As long as Ford gets a decent amount of reps on Sunday, he has a great chance to score a touchdown.
The Giants hit the road for a second straight game after making NFL history in Week 2. New York became the first team to score three or more touchdowns, while allowing zero TDs, and they lost in regulation. QB Daniel Jones was at least a little better, and he has jelled nicely with rookie WR Malik Nabers, who looks to be everything as advertised. New York has averaged just 12.0 PPG, while allowing 24.5 PPG, and they’re 0-2 ATS so far. The Browns haven’t exactly been killing it offensively, but the defense gets the job done, and will likely coax Jones into at least couple of miscues with tremendous pressure from the front seven. Nabers will be the focus of the Cleveland secondary, and it is talented enough to at least keep him somewhat in check. We should have a lower-scoring game, with the Browns coming away with the victory.
Pick: Browns ML (-320)
Anytime TD Scorer & Win Parlay Odds: +222
