College Basketball Big South Conference Championship Game Picks

The first bids of the 2023 NCAA Tournament will be punched Sunday, when the Atlantic Sun, Big South and Missouri Valley Conferences wrap up their conference tournaments. While these games don’t feature any brand name programs, they serve as perfect appetizers for the feast that will be Championship Week.

Here are previews and betting picks for Sunday’s trio of title games.

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Sunday:

Men's College Basketball: NCAA Tourney Bracketology 5.0

Big South Championship Game: Campbell vs. UNC-Asheville (-4.5), Total 136

Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, N.C. (neutral site)

Tip off time: 1 p.m. ET

We could have our first Cinderella story of March Madness, as the Campbell Fighting Camels will look to qualify for its first NCAA Tournament since 1992 as the seventh-seed in the Big South bracket. To complete the dream story, they’ll have to knock off the regular season champion Bulldogs.

UNC-Asheville is a fascinating case. The Bulldogs went 16-2 in conference play, shoot threes at a nearly 40% clip and hold opponents to just 30.3% from three. However, the Bulldogs also turn the ball over on more than 20% of their possessions and are rated as the second luckiest team in the country per KenPom.

It’s truly feast or famine for UNC-Asheville. The question is whether Campbell can force enough miscues out of the Bulldogs to pull off the upset. Campbell ranks 151st nationally in takeaway percentage and forced 22 turnovers in two regular season losses. The Bulldogs have also been much more careful with the ball during the Big South tournament, turning it over on fewer than 15% of their possessions in wins over Charleston Southern and USC Upstate.

Campbell’s two strengths are their interior offense and ability to get to the free throw line. However, UNC-Asheville plays respectable interior D (149th in defensive 2-point percentage) and foul on just 27% of their defensive possessions.

I’d prefer this line be -3, but I don’t see UNC-Asheville’s luck running out in the Big South title game. Campbell’s Cinderella story comes up just short.

The pick: Lean UNC-Asheville -4.5

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