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College Football Week 4 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Charlotte vs. South Carolina (2022)

by September 23, 2022
College Football Week 4 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Charlotte vs. South Carolina (2022)

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 4 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Charlotte vs. South Carolina.

And check out our other College Football Week 4 game previews and best bets:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 4 College Football Power Rankings >>

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College Football Week 4 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Charlotte vs. South Carolina

This is a perception vs. reality spread. It is treating South Carolina like a legitimate SEC team while seemingly overlooking the circumstances of Charlotte’s 1-3 start.

Charlotte’s first three games could not have gone worse. The offense immediately cratered when Charlotte lost QB Chris Reynolds to an undisclosed injury in the opener against FAU. Without Reynolds, Charlotte lost 43-13 to FAU, were stunned 41-24 by FCS William & Mary at home and then lost by 35 to Maryland.

But Reynolds returned last week. And voila, Charlotte was magically competitive again. Charlotte, a 20-point    underdog, controlled much of the game and held on for a 42-41 road victory over Georgia State. The final score made the game appear closer than it actually was: Charlotte’s postgame adjusted scoring margin was +8.4, per SP+.

Since the start of last year, Charlotte has been a respectable 6-7 SU with Reynolds starting and finishing the game and a perfect 4-0 ATS as a favorite. With Reynolds back under center, you can erase the first three games from your mind and return to thinking about Charlotte as you did entering the season.

South Carolina hasn’t looked as good as we hoped it would in the early going. The Gamecocks are 1-2 SU and have failed to cover their last two games. South Carolina is bad in the trenches. Its offensive line is leaky, and its defensive front isn’t getting after the quarterback, nor stopping the run.

Charlotte’s biggest offensive weakness is its shaky offensive line, but South Carolina isn’t exactly equipped to take advantage of that. Charlotte’s worst thing on defense is its coverage. Yet, uSC QB Spencer Rattler, who has often been under duress, may not be able to take consistent advantage of that. Rattler currently ranks No. 135 out of 137 qualifiers in PFF passing grade.

This line is inflated. I like the ‘dog to keep it within the number.

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College Football, Game Previews, Picks