Week 10 of the NFL season is here. After the Commanders and Giants kicked things off on Thursday, we're set for a full Sunday slate. It's time to dive into the top NFL same game parlays & picks for every game on the Sunday afternoon slate.
We'll go matchup by matchup and build a same-game parlay for each. Let's pinpoint the top player props, odds and bets to lock in before the action gets underway. Good luck.
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NFL Same Game Parlays & Picks: Week 10
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
- Leg 1: Bijan Robinson 30+ Receiving Yards (+103)
- Leg 2: Kyle Pitts Over 3.5 Receptions (-155)
- Leg 3: Patrick Mahomes 240+ Passing Yards (-113)
Bijan Robinson leads the NFL in rushing with 880 yards this season. However, Atlanta's ground game could be slow to get going this week. The Chiefs boast a top-10 run defense, limiting opposing running backs all year. Robinson could be bottled up, but the Falcons will still want to get him the ball in space.
That points us to Robinson's receiving yards. Conversely, Kansas City allows the fifth-most receiving yards per game to running backs - 42.5 per contest. Robinson, meanwhile, has proven to be a dangerous pass-catcher. He had 47 receiving yards on six catches last week, and he has 30+ receiving yards in three of the last five games.
Kyle Pitts should also be more involved in the Atlanta passing attack this week. The Chiefs allow the second-fewest receiving yards per game to wide receivers, but also the third-most receptions per game to tight ends. This should lead to more targets and usage for Pitts if the Falcons' wideouts are limited.
Pitts has been quiet lately, with fewer than 25 yards in three straight games. Still, he's averaging four receptions and five targets per game over the past five weeks. Let's bank on Atlanta's tight end to catch four or more passes in this matchup. He’s had at least three receptions in five of his last six games, which is a decent bar.
On the Chiefs side, Patrick Mahomes faces a shaky Atlanta defense that's struggled at times against the pass. The Falcons allow the fifth-most completions and sixth-most pass attempts per game this season. Mahomes has at least 240 passing yards in five of the last seven games. The addition of Josh Downs should also boost the Kansas City passing attack.
Parlay Odds: +480
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
- Leg 1: Deshaun Watson Under 24.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Leg 2: KC Concepcion 40+ Receiving Yards (-171)
- Leg 3: Dalton Schultz 30+ Receiving Yards (-111)
Deshaun Watson returns for Cleveland this week after missing a game with a concussion. Let's target a pair of Browns props to anchor our parlay with Watson's return in mind. First up is the quarterback's rushing yards against this Houston defense.
The Texans will be wary of Watson's running threat. Expect the defense to be keyed on his potential scrambles. Houston has done it all year, allowing the fourth-fewest quarterback rushing yards per game. The defense is also averaging the second-most sacks per game. Plus, Watson may not be as willing to run in his first game back. The under on 24.5 rushing yards looks even better when you consider he's hit the under in four of eight games.
Meanwhile, Browns wideout KC Concepcion should benefit from Watson's return. The rookie was productive last week with Shedeur Sanders under center, going for 85 yards and a touchdown. He recently had a season-high 129 yards with Watson at quarterback, and the two should regain that connection.
Houston is allowing the second-most receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers. The Texans are also giving up the second-most targets and fourth-most receptions per game to wide receivers. Plus, Concepcion could be more involved this week with Denzel Boston questionable. The 40+ yardage mark is a low bar for Concepcion, who has at least 37 yards in six games.
As for the Texans' offense, bank on Dalton Schultz playing a key role. The Browns allow the 11th-most receiving yards per game to tight ends - 57.8 per contest. That's enough to trust Schultz to eclipse 30+ yards. He's done it in seven of eight games this season, averaging 45.5 yards per game. Plus, potential rain in Cleveland could lead to shorter throws to Schultz and easier completions.
Parlay Odds: +425
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
- Leg 1: Justin Jefferson Over 6.5 Receptions (-114)
- Leg 2: Justin Jefferson 100+ Receiving Yards (+148)
- Leg 3: Kaleb Johnson 30+ Rushing Yards (+100)
Kirk Cousins is back in Minnesota after being traded from Las Vegas at this week's deadline. The Vikings will start the veteran quarterback right away for this huge divisional matchup against Green Bay. It's worth wondering how effective Cousins will be in his first game on his new/old team. Even so, Justin Jefferson should benefit big.
Jefferson averaged 6.5 receptions and 97.9 receiving yards per game with Cousins at quarterback for Minnesota. That's over a 55-game sample size. They last played together in 2023, with Jefferson averaging 135.8 yards per game in four healthy contests with Cousins. The connection and production are proven, and Jefferson should be extra motivated now that he has a competent quarterback.
Let's hope Jefferson and Cousins regain that chemistry right away. The Packers are allowing a league-high 21.7 targets per game to wide receivers. They're also giving up the second-most receptions per game to wide receivers. Jefferson had eight catches for 92 yards and two touchdowns against Green Bay back in Week 1.
Meanwhile, Kaleb Johnson is the name to watch in the Packers' backfield. Josh Jacobs was just placed on injured reserve (IR), which should give Johnson a bigger role. In last week's win, he rushed for 68 yards on 14 carries, leading the backfield. MarShawn Lloyd is also healthy, but Johnson is the more explosive back and has been more productive this season.
Green Bay may need to lean on the run more than usual this week. Minnesota boasts an elite pass defense, allowing the second-fewest receiving yards per game. The Vikings can be beaten on the ground, giving up 4.2 yards per carry. Johnson should see the most carries for the Packers, which can lead to 30+ yards in this matchup. He's done it all three times this year when he's gotten at least eight carries in a game.
Parlay Odds: +425
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
- Leg 1: Parker Washington 60+ Receiving Yards (-115)
- Leg 2: Wan’Dale Robinson 40+ Receiving Yards (-103)
- Leg 3: Gunnar Helm Under 28.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Tennessee is allowing a league-high 194.9 receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers. The Titans are also giving up the second-most receiving yards overall per contest. It's an ideal matchup for the Jaguars' passing attack, especially Parker Washington.
Washington only has three catches over the past two games combined, but he should be more involved this week. He can easily eclipse 60 yards against this Tennessee secondary. The Jaguars' top wideout has 60+ yards in five out of eight games this season, including three of the last four. Washington still leads the Jaguars in targets and yards, and his role shouldn't change.
On the other side, Wan'Dale Robinson will likely headline the Titans' receiving corps with Carnell Tate out for a second straight game. Last week, in Tate's absence, Robinson had 57 yards and a touchdown on six receptions. He’s now had 50+ yards in three of his last six games, but we just need 40+ yards for our parlay. Robinson will face a Jaguars defense that allows the fifth-most receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers.
Conversely, let's fade Tennessee's tight end this week. Gunnar Helm just exploded for a season-high 76 yards last week. However, that came against a Bengals defense that has struggled against tight ends. Helm now faces a Jacksonville unit that allows tight ends a league-low 31.3 yards per game. Expect him to revert to the player who was held under 28.5 yards in all seven games before last week's outburst.
Parlay Odds: +525
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
- Leg 1: Ollie Gordon II Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (+101)
- Leg 2: Ollie Gordon II 80+ Rushing Yards (+109)
- Leg 3: Tyler Warren 50+ Receiving Yards (+107)
Kyle McCord will start at quarterback for Miami this week, with Malik Willis landing on IR. This will be McCord's first NFL regular-season appearance since he was drafted last year. His inexperience should push Miami toward a run-heavy game plan, giving Ollie Gordon II plenty of work in a favorable matchup.
The Colts allow the third-most rushing yards per game and the fourth-most yards per carry. It's an ideal defense for Miami to lean on the run as it introduces a new quarterback. Gordon is averaging 19.5 carries over the past four games in his workhorse role. He also has at least 16 carries in five of the last six games. Plus, Gordon has eclipsed 80+ rushing yards three times in this stretch.
Meanwhile, Tyler Warren should be plenty involved in the Colts' passing attack. Indianapolis traded away both Keenan Allen and Josh Downs this week. That leaves a ton of unproven wideouts on the depth chart. Expect Daniel Jones to lean on his tight end with the rapport already there, especially against this defense.
Miami allows the eighth-most receiving yards and seventh-most receptions per game to tight ends this year. Admittedly, Warren's production has been up and down. However, he can reach 50+ yards in a matchup where he’s likely to see more action. He's averaged 48.2 yards over the past five games, with at least 41 yards in four of them. Warren will be on the high end of that against a depleted Colts receiving corps.
Parlay Odds: +420
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
- Leg 1: Chuba Hubbard 100+ Rushing + Receiving Yards (-122)
- Leg 2: Tetairoa McMillan 70+ Receiving Yards (+101)
- Leg 3: Darren Waller 25+ Receiving Yards (-151)
Let's roll with an all-Carolina parlay for this week's game against New Orleans. The Panthers are road underdogs this week, but the offense still has a favorable matchup against the Saints' shaky defense. We’re focusing on a trio of playmakers.
Chuba Hubbard continues to produce for Carolina. The running back is averaging 105.8 total yards per game over the last six games. He also has 100+ combined rushing + receiving yards in four of the last six games, with 96 total yards in another. Hubbard should keep it going against the Saints, who allow the fourth-most rushing yards per game and the ninth-most receiving yards to opposing running backs.
Meanwhile, Tetairoa McMillan should also star for the Panthers this week. New Orleans ranks 30th in defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) against opposing No. 1 WRs and allows an opponent-adjusted 87 receiving yards per game to top wideouts. McMillan has been quiet lately, by his standards, but he can return to No. 1 WR-level in this matchup. He had 75+ yards in four of five games to start the year.
Darren Waller is also worth adding to this parlay. The Panthers tight end just went off for 90 yards and a touchdown on eight catches against Denver last week. He now faces a Saints defense that allows opposing tight ends the sixth-most receiving yards per game. Waller has eclipsed 25 yards in six of eight games this season, and he can do it again in this matchup.
Parlay Odds: +485
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
- Leg 1: James Cook 80+ Rushing Yards (-179)
- Leg 2: Breece Hall 20+ Receiving Yards (+111)
- Leg 3: Mason Taylor 15+ Receiving Yards (-125)
James Cook is averaging 101.8 rushing yards per game this season, the third-highest mark in the NFL. The Bills tailback should again be productive in this week's matchup against the Jets. New York’s defense is allowing the seventh-most rushing yards per game this season - 128 yards per contest.
Cook has at least 80 rushing yards in six of eight games this season, with 75 yards in another. He should easily clear 80 yards in this matchup. Cook also has 95+ yards in five games and averages a robust 21.1 carries per game. Meanwhile, the Jets allow the second-most carries per game to running backs - 26.4 rush attempts per contest.
Breece Hall popped up in many trade rumors, but he stayed in New York at this week's deadline. Now that he's sticking around, the Jets running back could take on a bigger workload down the stretch. After returning from injury last week, Hall had 18 touches for 87 yards compared to Braelon Allen's 10 touches for 54 yards. That's encouraging moving forward.
Let's at least count on Hall being a productive pass-catcher this week. The Bills allow a league-high 8.3 targets per game to opposing running backs. They also give up the second-most receptions and seventh-most receiving yards per game to running backs. Hall has receiving yardage totals of 26, 23, 63 and 16 in his four games this season, clearing 20+ yards in three of them.
Mason Taylor wraps up our parlay. The Bills allow the fifth-most targets and receiving yards per game to tight ends. Kenyon Sadiq had the better game last week between New York's tight end duo, but Taylor has been more productive. He's averaging 29.8 yards per game over the last five games, with at least 19 yards four times.
Parlay Odds: +450
Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders
- Leg 1: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 90+ Receiving Yards (-119)
- Leg 2: Zach Charbonnet 60+ Rushing Yards (-147)
- Leg 3: Brock Bowers Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Drew Lock draws another start for Seattle with Sam Darnold out again. It's not the best news for the Seahawks' passing attack, but we can still count on Jaxon Smith-Njigba to produce in this matchup. Las Vegas allows the eighth-most receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts this year. That's enough to trust Smith-Njigba to bounce back after just 51 yards last week.
Despite that down performance, Smith-Njigba should be poised to rebound against the Raiders' shaky defense. We only need 90+ yards from him for this parlay, but another 100+ yards is certainly on the table. He's done it in seven of nine games this season. Smith-Njigba also continues to be a target hog, with another 10 targets last week.
Seattle's backfield has looked very different week to week. Zach Charbonnet appears to be the first man up for carries now that he's healthy. He saw 16 carries for 77 yards last week, while Jadarian Price had only nine attempts for 24 yards. Price looks like the pass-catching back, while Charbonnet should keep getting early-down snaps.
If this trend holds, Charbonnet has a great shot at 60+ yards in this matchup. The Raiders allow a league-high 151.2 rushing yards per game on 5.0 yards per carry. The defense has struggled to stop the run all season, and Seattle's backfield can feast. Charbonnet has now posted at least 70 rushing yards in four of his last six games when he gets double-digit carries.
Meanwhile, let's fade a certain Las Vegas pass-catcher. Brock Bowers has produced all season, averaging 94 yards per game with 70+ in every contest. However, he now faces a Seattle defense that's allowing the third-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends. Plus, Bowers has Fernando Mendoza throwing to him now with Kirk Cousins gone. We should lower our expectations, especially in this matchup.
Parlay Odds: +440
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
- Leg 1: Kyren Williams 50+ Rushing Yards (-282)
- Leg 2: Tutu Atwell 30+ Receiving Yards (-114)
- Leg 3: Tyler Allgeier 15+ Receiving Yards (+133)
The Rams have placed Puka Nacua on IR, leaving them without their top two receivers, as Davante Adams remains out. Let's use that injury situation to anchor our same-game parlay. Los Angeles will likely lean on the run this week against Arizona's suspect defense. That puts Kyren Williams firmly on our radar.
Blake Corum is still involved, but Williams continues to get carries. He now has 15+ rushing attempts in six of the last seven games. We only need Williams to hit 50+ yards for this parlay, something he's done in six of his last eight games. He had 49 and 45 yards in the two outliers. Arizona allows 121.9 rushing yards per game and 4.2 yards per carry. The matchup, and a likely safe workload, should get Williams to 50 yards.
With Nacua and Adams out, Tutu Atwell should step into a bigger role this week. He and Konata Mumpfield will be the Rams' top two wideouts. Atwell, though, has seen more targets lately. He has nine total targets over the past two games, compared to four for Mumpfield. Plus, Atwell had 52 yards two games ago, which is encouraging.
Meanwhile, Carson Beck will start at quarterback for Arizona this week. Who knows what we'll get from the rookie, or who his favorite receivers will be. Let's just hope that Tyler Allgeier sees enough check-down targets for easy completions. The matchup certainly points to that happening.
The Rams allow 45 receiving yards per game to running backs, the second-most in the league. They also allow the fourth-most receptions per game to opposing running backs. Allgeier has been Arizona's backfield option with Jeremiyah Love out. Bam Knight is slated to return, but Allgeier should be the better pass-catcher. He had 44 and 30 receiving yards in his last two games.
Parlay Odds: +480
San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys
- Leg 1: Brock Purdy 20+ Rushing Yards (-122)
- Leg 2: Kaelon Black 30+ Rushing Yards (-150)
- Leg 3: Javonte Williams 15+ Receiving Yards (-121)
Dallas has struggled to contain scrambling quarterbacks this season. The Cowboys allow five rushing attempts and 26.9 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks. That's the second- and third-most in the league, respectively. It's an ideal matchup for Brock Purdy to use his legs.
Purdy has already run for 201 yards this season, averaging 25.1 yards per game. He also has 20+ yards in six of eight games. Purdy is one of the better scrambling quarterbacks, and Dallas could have issues when the pocket or coverage breaks down. He should easily hit 20+ rushing yards this week.
Meanwhile, Kaelon Black is the player to target in San Francisco's backfield. The 49ers continue to give him more work while managing Christian McCaffrey's touches. Black had 11 carries for 70 yards last week, and 12 carries for 63 yards the week before. He now faces a Dallas defense that's allowed the second-most rushing yards per game this year and five yards per carry. Even if McCaffrey is productive, Black can also get to 30+ yards. He's done it in three straight games.
On the Cowboys' side, Javonte Williams has value as a pass-catcher. The 49ers allow a league-high 6.8 receptions per game to opposing running backs for 43.6 receiving yards, the fourth-most. The matchup alone makes Williams a safe bet in the passing game. He has 15+ receiving yards in five games this year. He's also seen a huge workload lately, with at least 24 touches in three straight games.
Parlay Odds: +455


